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Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — May 27, 2026

May 27, 20269 racesAll Horseshoe Indianapolis picks

This card ran on May 27, 2026.

Best bets at Horseshoe Indianapolis, May 27, 2026

Race 14AllbarknobiteML 8/52:10 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Horseshoe Indianapolis: our top pick won 21 of 103 races (20%) and finished in the money in 59.

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Happy Wednesday from Horseshoe Indianapolis, where the skies are open and the track is taking on water. It's 75°F and raining at post time, which means we're looking at a wet, potentially sloppy dirt surface for most of this nine-race card — and that changes everything from pace scenarios to surface preferences.

Nine races are on the menu today, ranging from a quick 250-yard quarter-horse sprint in Race 9 to a pair of one-mile turf tests in Races 6 and 8. Speaking of turf — keep a close eye on the rail. When rain is falling like this, tracks can scratch turf events or shift horses to the main track, so check the TrackWiz live updates before you lock in any tickets involving the green stuff.

Three races are fully open to all readers, and the free card alone gives you plenty to work with. Let's break it down.

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Race 1

2:10 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming opener where one horse stands head and shoulders above the field on TrackWiz ratings — but maiden races are always a coin flip, and a pair of 8/5-to-8/1 horses could make this closer than it looks.

win4AllbarknobiteML 8/5

Allbarknobite (4) is the standout of this field by a wide margin, posting a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — more than 26 points clear of the second-ranked horse. Trainer Genaro Garcia has two horses in this race, which shows confidence in the barn's firepower, and Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. is a capable pilot to get the job done in a six-furlong sprint. At 8/5 on the morning line, this is the kind of heavy favorite you have to respect in maiden company, even knowing that unraced or lightly raced horses carry inherent uncertainty. The avgSpeed of 53 is solid for this level, and our analysis sees no real challenger who matches the overall profile.

place1Mega WichML 9/5

Mega Wich (1) draws the rail and comes in as the morning line second choice at 9/5, carrying a TrackWiz rating of 62.82 — second best in the field. Trainer Randy L. Klopp puts Fernando De La Cruz aboard, a combination that suggests the connections believe this horse is ready to fire. The avgSpeed of 53 is respectable for a maiden claimer at six furlongs, and the inside post gives Mega Wich a chance to control or sit close to the pace.

show7Jackson's BuddyML 10/1

Jackson's Buddy (7) is the value inclusion here at 10/1 on the morning line, holding a 50.36 TrackWiz rating that places him third in the field. Trainer Brian Cook sends him out with Jose Ramos Gutierrez up, and at that price in a wide-open maiden event, he's a useful hedge in exacta and trifecta constructions. His avgSpeed of 51 trails the top picks slightly, but in maiden claiming, form can shake out in unexpected ways.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:41 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A one-mile-plus claiming race with a clear top selection on paper, but several horses posting nearly identical speed figures creates a live pace scenario that could set up for a closer.

win7Shiesty to ChaseML 5/2

Shiesty to Chase (7) tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 — a meaningful edge over the field — and goes postward at a reasonable 5/2 morning line. Trainer Michael Weaver is a sharp conditioner at this level, and Jose Ramos Gutierrez knows his way around Horseshoe Indianapolis. The 11% career win rate is modest, but our overall rating model accounts for more than just wins, and this horse grades out significantly ahead of the competition heading into a route at one mile and seventy yards.

place6Coasting ByML 8/1

Coasting By (6) is quietly the second-best horse in this field on our ratings at 75.1, despite being dismissed at 8/1 on the morning line — making this a legitimate value play. The 14% career win rate is the highest of the top three finishers in our analysis, and trainer John Steve Cannon sends him out with Rodney A. Prescott, a reliable partnership. At longer odds than his talent suggests, Coasting By is a horse to anchor underneath in exactas.

show3PatronageML 5/1

Patronage (3) brings the best average speed figure in the race at 54 — one tick above the cluster of horses sitting at 52 — and his TrackWiz rating of 72.92 makes him a legitimate contender for the minor awards. Trainer Rogelio Labra puts Micah Meeks aboard, and at 5/1 there's reasonable value if this horse runs back to his best. The 11% career win rate is consistent with this group, and he profiles as a strong show/place ticket component.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Our three free races cover the early part of the card and span maiden claimers to allowance optional claiming company. On a wet track like today's, we're leaning hard into horses that show any prior form on an off surface — mud-loving running styles and pace-pressers who don't mind getting dirt kicked in their face tend to thrive when the footing gets heavy. Allbarknobite opens the card as our morning-line favorite at 8/5 with a TrackWiz rating of 89.12, and that number carries more weight when you factor in the conditions. In Race 2, Shiesty to Chase stretches out to a mile and 70 yards — a distance that rewards stamina, which wet tracks tend to test even further. And in Race 3, Bourbon Society at 4/1 in the allowance optional claiming ranks as an interesting value angle: that morning line suggests the market isn't fully sold, but our 85.62 rating says there's a case to be made.

The through-line across all three free races is this: pace will be premium today. Heavy tracks naturally slow fractions and punish horses who try to gun it from the gate. We're watching for horses that can sit just off the pace, save ground, and pounce in the stretch — and all three of our top free picks fit that profile.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:12 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

An allowance optional claiming mile that features a fascinating clash between a high-rated contender at 4/1 and an even-money morning line favorite with a jaw-dropping 50% career win rate — don't expect this to be a formality.

win5Bourbon SocietyML 4/1

Bourbon Society (5) leads our TrackWiz ratings at 85.62, edging out the morning line favorite, and at 4/1 he represents genuine value if you believe in our model. Trainer Cipriano Contreras has two horses in this race and clearly feels good about the barn's chances, with Emmanuel Esquivel — a smooth pace presser — getting the mount. The 19% career win rate is strong for this class of competition, and the avgSpeed of 53 is in line with the top of the field.

place4Instant ReplayML EVN

Instant Replay (4) is hard to ignore at even money with a 50% career win rate — that's an elite conversion rate that demands respect regardless of class level. Trainer Brad H. Cox is one of the sharpest conditioners in the game, and Fernando De La Cruz gives this horse a professional trip every time. The TrackWiz rating of 81.64 is just behind Bourbon Society, so a 1-2 finish between these two is very much in play.

show3Knicks GloryML 15/1

Knicks Glory (3) is our show play and a legitimate longshot angle at 15/1 — the highest career win rate of any horse in this race at 27%, which stands out against a field of single-digit-to-mid-teens converters. Trainer Dallas Stewart is an experienced hand, and the avgSpeed of 55 is the best in the field, which means if pace collapses up front, this closer could be running the fastest late splits. At big odds, he's a trifecta anchor worth including.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

3:43 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A wide-open fourteen-horse starter optional claiming mile on the turf — the largest field of the day — where two 10/1 horses top our ratings and the morning line favorite is nowhere near the top of our model.

win8Count of AmazoniaML 10/1

Count of Amazonia (8) leads all horses in TrackWiz ratings at 76.88 despite being listed at 10/1 on the morning line — that's a significant pricing discrepancy that our analysis finds compelling. Gabriel Saez is a polished turf jockey and trainer Eric N. Foster does solid work at this level. The 16% career win rate is respectable in a field this large, and at a mile on grass, a horse with a 52 avgSpeed who rates this highly overall profiles as a horse running well within himself.

place13TakeitandrunML 10/1

Takeitandrun (13) nearly matches Count of Amazonia in our model at 76.54 and brings the added value of a 30% career win rate — the highest of any horse among our top three picks. Trainer Tim Eggleston doubles up with Mitchell Murrill, who also rides Go Bali Go, but the connections clearly believe in this one. At 10/1, the value is comparable to the win pick, and both horses make sense in exacta boxes.

show9Trusty RustyML 7/2

Trusty Rusty (9) is the morning line co-favorite at 7/2 and grades out third in our ratings at 73.59, making him a logical show anchor in a contentious turf field. Trainer Robert B. Hess, Jr. and jockey Axel Concepcion form a tidy combination, and an avgSpeed of 54 gives this horse an edge in raw speed over several others in the field. In a race this large with two overlay selections above him, Trusty Rusty is the safety net that ties the trifecta together.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 5

4:14 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Save My Town enters as a dominant figure on TrackWiz ratings in what looks like a claiming mile set up perfectly for a front-runner, though a few sneaky pace pressers could make life difficult if the fractions get honest.

win2Save My TownML 5/2

Save My Town (2) posts an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the top mark in the field by a wide margin — and comes in at 5/2 morning line with Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. in the irons for trainer Genaro Garcia. The 15% career win rate is middle-of-the-road, but the avgSpeed of 54 is the best in this field, giving Save My Town a real edge in pure running ability. This is the kind of horse that looks like the 'right' favorite — well-rated, well-mounted, and ready to run.

place1Henry the HankML 7/2

Henry the Hank (1) sits second in our ratings at 59.14 and draws the rail for trainer Jonathan Nance, with Mitchell Murrill up — a savvy booking for a mile on dirt. The 16% career win rate slightly edges out the win pick, and an avgSpeed of 53 keeps him competitive without the dominant edge of Save My Town. The rail can be a gift or a trap at a mile, but with Murrill's experience, Henry the Hank is a steady place ticket.

show5Dreaming BroML 3/1

Dreaming Bro (5) closes out our picks at 3/1 morning line — technically the third shortest price in the race — making him more of a value-based show play than a true overlay. Trainer Joseph D. Davis runs two horses in this race, and Fernando De La Cruz gets the call on this one over the barn's other entry. The 11% career win rate and 52 avgSpeed are modest, but in claiming company, fresh legs and trainer confidence count for plenty.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

4:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Turf

A fourteen-horse allowance mile on the turf where Dauwe stands alone at the top of our ratings but faces a deep field of capable grass horses — and Einstein's Ghost at 12/1 is our most intriguing value play of the evening.

win9DauweML 7/2

Dauwe (9) tops our TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 — the clearest margin of any horse in this sprawling fourteen-horse field — and goes off at a fair 7/2 morning line. Trainer Lilia Gonzalez and jockey Danilo Grisales Rave bring a 25% career win rate into a turf allowance, which is a strong conversion number at this level. The avgSpeed of 53 is right in the mix, and in a race where many horses grade within a few points of each other, having an 86-plus rating is a real separator.

place13Einstein's GhostML 12/1

Einstein's Ghost (13) is our value highlight of this race at 12/1, posting a TrackWiz rating of 71.15 with a 25% career win rate that ties Dauwe for the top conversion rate in the field. Trainer John Haran sends him out with Jose Ramos Gutierrez, who is riding multiple horses tonight and clearly knows the turf at Horseshoe Indianapolis well. At double-digit odds with a 71-plus rating and elite win percentage, Einstein's Ghost is the kind of place horse that could flip a modest exacta into a big score.

show5Bout Tree FiddyML 6/1

Bout Tree Fiddy (5) checks in with a 62.88 TrackWiz rating and rounds out our show position at 6/1 — not a massive price but a horse who grades out ahead of the majority of this large field. Trainer John Haran also conditions Einstein's Ghost, meaning the barn has two live shots in this race, and Alberto Burgos gets the call here. The 7% career win rate is the one cautionary flag, but in a turf race where pace scenario matters enormously, a horse with this rating and an experienced grass jockey has clear merit.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 7

5:16 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A thirteen-horse maiden special weight sprint at 5.5 furlongs where a 10/1 horse tops our ratings — suggesting the market hasn't caught up to what our model sees — and morning line favorites Well Hey There and Mayzforcebewithu form a tight cluster just behind.

win12Obvious AgendaML 10/1

Obvious Agenda (12) is the most interesting horse on this card from a value standpoint, sitting atop our TrackWiz ratings at 76.88 while listed at 10/1 on the morning line. Trainer Miguel Angel Silva puts Joseph C. Bealmear aboard, and while neither the trainer nor jockey are household names, the rating model doesn't lie — this horse profiles as the most complete candidate in the field. The avgSpeed of 53 is competitive for a 5.5-furlong dash, and maiden special weight sprints are exactly the race type where overlooked, well-rated horses can pop at big prices.

place6Well Hey ThereML 7/2

Well Hey There (6) has the best average speed figure in our top three picks at 54, which matters in a sprint where raw early pace is rewarded. Trainer Robert M. Gorham puts Santo Sanjur up, and at 7/2 morning line, this one will likely be well-bet — the public sees the same sprint-friendly speed. With a 55.83 TrackWiz rating, she's a logical place horse who could easily outrun her odds if pace sets up well.

show2MayzforcebewithuML 4/1

Mayzforcebewithu (2) comes in at 4/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 55.0, just a hair behind Well Hey There, for trainer Larry Rivelli with Rodney A. Prescott in the saddle. Rivelli is a respected conditioner and Prescott is comfortable at Horseshoe, making this a professional setup for a first or second start. The avgSpeed of 52 is the only modest note, but in maiden sprint company, trip and position off the gate matter as much as raw figures.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

Race 8

5:47 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A maiden claiming mile on the turf features a top-rated horse that the morning line has priced well outside the favorites — High Dollar Dolly at 5/1 leads our model in a race where Silent Secretary and Start Her Up figure to be the public choices.

win1High Dollar DollyML 5/1

High Dollar Dolly (1) leads all starters with an 84.17 TrackWiz rating — nearly 30 points clear of the second-ranked horse — and draws the rail for trainer Michelle L. Elliott with Jose Ramos Gutierrez up. The 5/1 morning line price looks like an overlay given how far she stands above the rest of the field in our model, and on a turf course where pace setup is crucial, a horse with this rating profile is hard to overlook. The avgSpeed of 53 is the best among the top three finishers in our analysis, and this is the race where the rating gap alone makes a compelling case.

place10Silent SecretaryML 4/1

Silent Secretary (10) is the morning line co-favorite at 4/1 with a solid 56.90 TrackWiz rating, and trainer Jake S. Radosevich hands the mount to Mitchell Murrill — one of the more active and effective jockeys on today's card. The avgSpeed of 52 is respectable for a maiden claimer on turf, and at a one-mile distance, a horse who can rate kindly off the pace is valuable. If High Dollar Dolly draws a troubled trip from the rail, Silent Secretary is the logical beneficiary.

show2Start Her UpML 9/2

Start Her Up (2) posts a 54.17 TrackWiz rating and brings the best avgSpeed in our show group at 54 — the same total speed score as Red Sleeve in Race 9, and notably above several horses in this competitive maiden turf field. Trainer Kelly Bainum sends her out with Abel Cedillo, and at 9/2 morning line she'll attract public support. In a field of maidens on turf, where form can be unpredictable, Start Her Up's speed edge gives her a clear path to hitting the board.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 9

6:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

The card closes with a 250-yard quarter-horse maiden sprint — pure speed, zero margin for error — where Lavish Sin Tacha leads our ratings as the morning line second choice and the entire top half of the field is tightly bunched.

win7Lavish Sin TachaML 5/2

Lavish Sin Tacha (7) leads our TrackWiz ratings at 57.5 in what is a tight but meaningful edge over the field in a 250-yard race where every tenth of a second counts. Trainer Hector J. Sanchez puts Francisco Quintero in the saddle, and at 5/2 morning line, the market agrees with our model here. In a race this short, gate speed and a horse at peak readiness are everything — and Lavish Sin Tacha profiles as exactly that kind of sharp, sprint-ready horse.

place6Red SleeveML 9/2

Red Sleeve (6) slots in as our place pick at 9/2 morning line with a 54.17 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field. Trainer Claudio Barraza sends him with Edgar Diaz, and in quarter-horse sprints, connections who specialize in the format matter. The morning line price of 9/2 is fair value for a horse who grades this cleanly in a maiden sprint where the margin between winner and runner-up can be measured in inches.

show1Kool KissesML 6/1

Kool Kisses (1) rounds out our picks at 6/1 morning line with a 51.67 TrackWiz rating that ties Last Sweet Jess for third in the field. Trainer Tim Eggleston, who also runs Hesa Relentless Seis in this race, is clearly targeting the quarter-horse sprint card tonight, and having two horses in the field suggests confidence in the prep. At 6/1, Kool Kisses is a sensible show ticket and trifecta inclusion in what is a chaotic, gate-to-wire format.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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A wet, nine-race card at Horseshoe Indianapolis with surface questions in play and legitimate value scattered throughout — this is exactly the kind of day where preparation pays off. Our top free plays are Allbarknobite, Shiesty to Chase, and Bourbon Society, all with TrackWiz ratings in the mid-to-high 80s. For the full card — pace shapes, exotic structures, and our takes on every premium race — head over to TrackWiz Premium and get the complete picture before first post. Good luck out there, and stay dry.

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