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Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — May 28, 2026

May 28, 20268 racesAll Delta Downs picks

This card ran on May 28, 2026.

Best bets at Delta Downs, May 28, 2026

Race 13Coys Fast ChampML 3/17:15 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Delta Downs: our top pick won 17 of 68 races (25%) and finished in the money in 35.

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Happy Thursday from Delta Downs, where eight races are locked and loaded under partly cloudy skies and a warm 84°F afternoon. The track is running its usual all-dirt Quarter Horse program, and with conditions looking stable and fast, we're expecting some sharp times from gate to wire today.

The card is a nice mix of conditions — maiden claimers, straight claimers, optional claiming, allowance company, and a maiden special weight tossed in for good measure. Distances range from a lightning-quick 250 yards all the way out to 550 yards, so there's something for every style of handicapper on today's ticket.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers, with our full five-race premium breakdown available to subscribers. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint at 350 yards where every horse carries a zero career win percentage — this is a true first-look field and the ratings separation at the top is razor-thin.

win3Coys Fast ChampML 3/1

Coys Fast Champ (#3) earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 56.67, edging out the competition in a race where margins matter in a maiden group like this. Pedro Chavarria Espinosa gets the call, and the 3/1 morning line confirms the bookmakers see this one at the top too. In a 350-yard dash, breaking sharp is everything, and our analysis puts Coys Fast Champ ahead of the pack when the gate opens.

place2Mr Piloto StreakinML 4/1

Mr Piloto Streakin (#2) checks in with a 55.0 rating — just a hair behind the top pick — and Rolando Cabrera is a reliable hand in these short-distance sprints. At 4/1 on the morning line, there's a solid chance this one finds the exacta spot even if the win eludes him in a close field.

show8Right BayouML 5/1

Right Bayou (#8) and Jrs Majestic Diamond (#6) share a 53.33 TrackWiz rating, but it's Right Bayou with Leonardo Rodriguez up that nudges into our show slot. In a ten-horse maiden sprint, third-place finishes can be volatile, but the rating cluster at the top of this field makes Right Bayou a reasonable exotic hedge at 5/1.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

Tlc Best Prize enters this 250-yard claiming sprint with a commanding rating advantage over the field, but Moonlight and Corona — the morning-line favorite — will make this a two-horse battle worth watching closely.

win5Tlc Best PrizeML 5/1

Tlc Best Prize (#5) carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field by a significant margin at 84.17, and a career win rate of 22% gives this one a legitimate résumé to back it up. Ubaldo Luna handles the ribbons, a jockey who knows how to fire a horse out of the gate in these ultra-short dashes. At 5/1 on the morning line, there's genuine overlay potential here given how clearly this horse stands above the field on our model.

place4Moonlight and CoronaML 2/1

Moonlight and Corona (#4) is the morning-line chalk at 2/1 and posts a solid 79.72 rating with a 20% career win rate, so don't sleep on this one threatening for the top spot. Adrian X. Morales takes the mount, and in a 250-yard sprint every gate break decision is magnified. The second-place slot feels like the floor for this horse's effort.

show7ShezastreakineagleML 12/1

Shezastreakineagle (#7) is the most intriguing number in this field — a career win rate of 33% is the best in the entire race, yet the morning line sits at 12/1. Yaidel Rodriguez has the mount, and while the 58.23 rating trails the top two, that win percentage suggests a horse that fires when conditions are right. At double-digit odds, tossing this one into the show slot of a trifecta is the kind of value play that makes multi-race tickets pop.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Our three free races today span the sprint spectrum from 250 yards (Race 2) to 350 yards (Race 1), capping out at 300 yards in Race 3. The standout of the trio is Ostrich Innocent in Race 3 — our top TrackWiz rating on the free card at 88.83 and posted at a juicy 9/5 on the morning line, which suggests real competitive value if the price holds into post time. Meanwhile, Tlc Best Prize in Race 2 is a name worth circling at 5/1 — that morning line tells you the morning line maker respects the field, but our 84.17 rating says there's a legit case to be made here.

On the 84°F partly cloudy afternoon, the dirt should be playing quick and consistent, which historically benefits horses with clean early speed at this level. Keep that in mind as you look at the pace scenarios across these short sprints — in Quarter Horse racing, gate speed and a clean break are everything.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

8:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

Ostrich Innocent looms as a clear class standout in this 300-yard claimer, but Supertrucker and Bold Bux give the race enough competitive depth to make the exacta interesting.

win1Ostrich InnocentML 9/5

Ostrich Innocent (#1) tops this field with a TrackWiz rating of 88.83 — the strongest mark in this race by a wide margin — and Rolando Cabrera gets the leg up from the inside post. The 9/5 morning line reflects the obvious strength here, and while the career win rate of 11% might seem modest, that's a function of competition level, not ability. In a 300-yard sprint, drawing post one with a horse this sharp on our ratings is a powerful combination.

place5SupertruckerML 3/1

Supertrucker (#5) slots in as our place pick with a 76.46 rating and a 9% career win rate at a 3/1 price. Randy Edison Jr. takes the mount, and the horse's rating suggests it's well within striking distance of the top pick on the right trip. If Ostrich Innocent catches any gate trouble, Supertrucker is positioned to capitalize.

show6Bold BuxML 9/2

Bold Bux (#6) rates third in this field at 66.77 and gets Rene Hernandez, who's familiar with these Delta Downs short sprints. The 9/2 morning line is fair for a horse sitting in the third tier of our ratings, and the 6% career win rate, while low, isn't alarming in a claiming context at this distance. Plugging Bold Bux into the show leg of a trifecta with the top two feels like the right structure here.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 4

8:30 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 550 yd · Dirt

Full Vision dominates this optional claiming field at 550 yards on paper, but Sheza Fast Piloto and The Star in Me give the race a live exacta underneath a likely odds-on finisher.

win8Full VisionML 2/1

Full Vision (#8) is the standout in Race 4 with a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 — easily the top mark in this optional claiming field — and a career win rate of 21% that backs up the model's confidence. Ubaldo Luna handles the mount, and at the 550-yard distance, this horse's rating edge over the field is significant enough to trust at 2/1. The optional claiming condition means some entrants are stepping down in class, but Full Vision looks like the one who belongs at the top.

place3Sheza Fast PilotoML 8/1

Sheza Fast Piloto (#3) is the sneaky value play here at 8/1 on the morning line, posting a solid 74.9 rating with a 14% career win rate. Rene Hernandez takes the mount for trainer Danny Hoda, and the horse's overall profile suggests it can handle the 550-yard distance well enough to threaten for second. If you're playing exactas, pairing Full Vision on top with Sheza Fast Piloto underneath at 8/1 makes for a juicy ticket.

show2The Star in MeML 9/2

The Star in Me (#2) checks in at 67.78 on our ratings with a 20% career win rate — the highest win percentage among the top three picks in this race. Leonardo Rodriguez gets the call for trainer Andre Brooks, and the experience factor embedded in that win rate is worth noting. At 9/2, The Star in Me is a reasonable show play and a solid third leg in trifecta construction.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

8:55 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

San Lorenzo Princess draws the top rating and the morning-line favoritism in this optional claiming 400-yarder, but Sheet N Gheet and a deep field at 8/1 or longer make the underneath spots genuinely competitive.

win1San Lorenzo PrincessML 9/5

San Lorenzo Princess (#1) is as compelling as it gets in this card — an 88.83 TrackWiz rating paired with a 40% career win rate is a combination you don't see often, and it's why the morning line sits at 9/5. Leonardo Rodriguez takes the mount for trainer Juan C. Garcia, and from post one in a 400-yard sprint, this horse has every reason to fire. The win rate alone puts San Lorenzo Princess in a different tier from the rest of this field.

place3Sheet N GheetML 8/1

Sheet N Gheet (#3) earns the place nod with a 79.28 rating and a 23% career win rate — both figures well above the field average outside the top pick. Bobby Ransom rides for trainer Orlando Orozco, and at 8/1 on the morning line, this horse is undervalued relative to its TrackWiz score. If San Lorenzo Princess wins as expected, Sheet N Gheet looks like the most likely to follow.

show8Bar the SaintML 12/1

Rating board at 67.8 • 21% career wins. Ridden by Noe Castaneda. 3 wins and placed in 9 of 14 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:20 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

Another maiden sprint — this time 300 yards — where all ten horses are winless and the ratings cluster tightly at the top, making this one of the trickier races on the card to handicap.

win10Dlj Shes Ivory GirlML 3/1

Dlj Shes Ivory Girl (#10) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 56.67, earning the win pick despite drawing the outside post. Donell Blake takes the mount for trainer Ray Robbins, and in an all-maiden 300-yard field, the ratings edge — however slight — is often the most reliable separator. The 3/1 morning line is fair, and backing the top-rated horse in a first-look field is a reasonable approach.

place7Driving to Da FinishML 7/2

Driving to Da Finish (#7) slots in second at 55.83 on our model and draws a 7/2 morning line that offers a touch of value relative to the win pick. Servando Ramirez takes the call for trainer Kenneth Weeks, and this horse's rating places it firmly in the upper tier of a race where the margins are small. In a maiden sprint with limited past performance to parse, the rating and odds combination make this a logical place bet.

show2PrissteenML 5/1

Prissteen (#2) rates at 53.33 — third in the field — and Jorge Javier Garcia rides for trainer Miguel Pizana. At 5/1, this filly offers a bit of overlay in the exotic legs, particularly in a maiden field where the top three ratings are separated by only a few points. Tossing Prissteen into a trifecta underneath the top two is the kind of low-cost hedge that can pay well in a wide-open maiden race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

9:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 550 yd · Dirt

An allowance field at 550 yards where two horses — Jamies Secret Piloto and Jungle Music — separate themselves clearly from the rest, setting up what could be a thrilling stretch duel between a pair of well-rated competitors.

win9Jamies Secret PilotoML 7/2

Jamies Secret Piloto (#9) earns the win pick with the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 86.35, edging out Jungle Music by a slim margin. Randy B. Edison handles the mount for trainer Donald Rubin, and the 7/2 morning line offers genuine value for the top-rated horse in an allowance field. The 7% career win rate is the one soft spot, but in an allowance context at this distance, the overall rating profile is what drives our confidence here.

place6Jungle MusicML 3/1

Jungle Music (#6) is the horse most likely to give Jamies Secret Piloto a serious fight — an 84.64 rating is nearly identical to the top pick, and Donell Blake rides for trainer Ray Robbins, a sharp outfit at this level. The 3/1 morning line is actually shorter than our win pick, which makes the exacta pairing of Jamies Secret Piloto over Jungle Music particularly attractive. A 12% career win rate gives this horse a solid foundation to back up the model.

show8Leaving At NoonML 5/2

Leaving At Noon (#8) comes in third on our ratings at 74.12 and carries a 10% career win rate with the morning-line favorite's price of 5/2. Leonardo Rodriguez rides for Phillip Calais Jr., and while this horse falls short of the top two on raw ratings, the odds suggest the market sees it as a contender. In a trifecta, Leaving At Noon is a credible third-leg anchor given its consistent profile.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

10:10 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

El Piloto Ps stands alone at the top of this maiden 400-yard field with a rating nearly 30 points above the next contender — this is about as clear a class standout as you'll find in a maiden sprint.

win10El Piloto PsML 5/2

El Piloto Ps (#10) posts an 87.81 TrackWiz rating in a field where the next-best horse checks in at 55.83 — that's a massive gap in a maiden race. Humberto Vital rides for trainer Rogelio Huitron, and despite the outside post draw at number 10, the rating dominance is hard to ignore at 5/2 on the morning line. In maiden sprints, the best-rated horse wins at a higher clip than any other class of race, and El Piloto Ps looks like the prototype example here.

place1Bigg Tymer StoneML 7/2

Bigg Tymer Stone (#1) earns the place pick with a 55.83 rating and the rail post, which is a significant advantage in a 400-yard maiden sprint. Ubaldo Luna takes the mount for trainer Adalberto Miranda, and at 7/2 on the morning line, this horse is the clear second choice in terms of both odds and ratings. If El Piloto Ps does the heavy lifting up front, Bigg Tymer Stone has the post position to secure second.

show9Hesa John 316ML 6/1

Hesa John 316 (#9) rates at 51.67 — third in the field — with Leonardo Rodriguez in the irons for trainer Darrel Soileau. The 6/1 morning line is reasonable for a horse sitting in the third tier of a maiden field, and in a 10-horse sprint with this much rating separation at the top, the show slot can come from a horse with modest credentials. Hesa John 316 fits that profile and deserves a look in trifecta construction.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line for today: Ostrich Innocent is the top free-race play on the card, and the premium side of the slate offers some genuine value angles — especially Jamies Secret Piloto at 7/2 in Race 7's allowance field. Eight races, warm dry conditions, and a card that rewards sharp handicapping from the jump. Subscribers can unlock the full breakdown right now — and if you're not yet on board, head to /pricing to get started. Good luck out there today.

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