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Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — May 27, 2026

May 27, 20268 racesAll Delaware Park picks

This card ran on May 27, 2026.

Best bets at Delaware Park, May 27, 2026

Race 16Real TalentedML 6/512:20 PM EDT

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It's a wet Wednesday at Delaware Park, with rain falling and temperatures sitting around 75°F. That means the main track is going to be at least sloppy, possibly muddy, and that changes everything — pace scenarios shift, speed figures from dry tracks lose some of their predictive punch, and horses with prior off-track experience move way up the priority list.

Eight races are on the board today, stretching from sprints to routes and touching both the dirt and turf. Speaking of turf — keep a close eye on how track officials handle Races 4 and 6, both carded for the grass. If it's deemed unraceable, those fields will likely get moved to the main track, and that shakes up the entire complexion of those cards.

Our TrackWiz models have processed the full card and identified some strong spots, including a couple of overlays that could offer real value at the windows. Let's break it down.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A clear top-two standout in a wide-open claimer at a mile and 70 yards, with Real Talented and Pierce Elevated separating themselves from the field on ratings — but the pace scenario could decide who hits the wire first.

win6Real TalentedML 6/5

Real Talented (6) carries the race's highest TrackWiz rating at 89.71 and draws the services of Sonny Leon, who knows how to get horses relaxed over longer trips. With a 16% career win rate and an average speed figure of 52 that matches the top of this field, this one profiles as the most complete horse in the field. At 6/5 on the morning line, the market agrees — this is a legitimate top pick, not just a public play.

place1Pierce ElevatedML 6/1

Pierce Elevated (1) sits second in the TrackWiz ratings at 81.07 with a 15% career win rate, making him a logical secondary investment. Jose A. Batista gets the call for trainer Pedro Nazario, and from the rail this horse could find a ground-saving trip around the long Delaware route. If Real Talented gets loose on the front end, Pierce Elevated shapes up as the most dangerous closer in this field.

show4Majestic TigerML 7/2

Majestic Tiger (4) at 7/2 morning line brings a solid 76.54 rating into a spot where the rest of the field falls off considerably. Trainer Jamie Ness consistently puts horses in position to hit the board, and while the 9% career win rate is modest, this profile screams place-and-show equity rather than a flat-out win play. Solid exotic anchor at a fair price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:52 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden optional claiming sprint where two horses have done their homework and are cutting class — expect a pace-forward race that could sort itself out late.

win7Dina's TouchML 7/2

Dina's Touch (7) is our top selection at 7/2, sporting the race's highest TrackWiz rating at 86.35 with a solid average speed figure of 53 — best alongside Dream Eagle and Good Golly Msfolly, but her overall profile edges them out. Paul A. Luna picks up the mount for trainer Jose S. Rodriguez, and in maiden company at 5½ furlongs, horses with strong prep figures tend to separate quickly. The morning line price of 7/2 offers a touch of value in a race where the public figure to lean toward the 8/5 shot.

place4Dream EagleML 8/5

Dream Eagle (4) is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 with a 79.37 rating and ties the field's best average speed figure at 53. Jose A. Batista aboard for McLean Robertson is a sharp booking, and this one looks capable of sitting just off any early pace and pouncing in the stretch. Hard to leave off any ticket.

show6Good Golly MsfollyML 5/2

Good Golly Msfolly (6) checks in with a 55.09 rating and an average speed figure of 53 — tied for the field's best — at a generous 5/2 on the morning line. Trainer Cathal A. Lynch runs a sharp barn and with Julio A. Hernandez up, this filly has the look of a horse that could outperform her rating in a first-time-out sprint situation. A logical show play and worth including in exacta combinations underneath.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Three races are fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — and they happen to share a common thread worth noting: all three are contested on the main dirt track, meaning today's wet conditions are directly in play for every one of our free picks. Real Talented opens the card as the morning-line favorite at 6/5 in a claiming route, and our rating of 89.71 backs up that chalk price — but in a sloppy or muddy track scenario, field position and off-track pedigree could be the difference-maker. In Race 2, Dina's Touch at 7/2 stands out in maiden optional claiming company, a spot where our models love finding overlaid price horses, and she fits the profile. Then Capt. Candy closes the free trio in Race 3 at 2/1 — a 6-furlong claiming sprint where pace collapse on a wet track is absolutely a factor to consider.

The connective tissue across all three? Wet dirt rewards horses who rate kindly or come from just off the pace. Blazing frontrunners often find themselves spinning their wheels in slop. Keep that pace angle in mind as you build your tickets.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

1:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Two standouts dominate this six-furlong dirt claimer, with Capt. Candy and Reverend Moon posting speed figures well above the rest — this race has the feel of a two-horse battle with the rest playing for scraps.

win7Capt. CandyML 2/1

Capt. Candy (7) gets our top call here, posting the race's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and an average speed figure of 55 — tied for best in the field. The 21% career win rate is the strongest in the race and speaks to a horse that shows up when it matters. Trainer Bruce M. Kravets has this horse fit and ready, and Yabriel O. Ramos will have options from mid-pack in a race that should have early pace from several of the longshots.

place1Reverend MoonML 8/5

Reverend Moon (1) comes back with an 86.98 rating — just a tick below Capt. Candy — and also posts a 55 average speed figure, tying for the field's best. Paco Lopez in the irons is a meaningful upgrade and this horse's 14% career win rate is right in line with competitive claimers. If there's any pace meltdown up front, Reverend Moon has the profile of a horse that sweeps past late.

show4UniwinnerML 5/1

Uniwinner (4) at 5/1 morning line represents a measure of value at the show position, with a 52.02 rating and a 15% career win rate. Trainer Cesar Nambo sends out two horses in this race, which can sometimes indicate a barn running sharp, and Wesley Ho knows this horse's tendencies well. In a race dominated by the top two, Uniwinner is a reasonable third-money play for exotic players.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

1:56 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

A full field of maiden claimers on the turf creates a wide-open puzzle — first-time grass runners and lightly raced horses make this a tricky affair where ratings and trainer pedigree carry extra weight.

win7Flamenco StarML 6/1

Flamenco Star (7) tops our TrackWiz ratings for this race at 82.71, with a 54 average speed figure that ties for best among horses with recorded figures. Trainer Jorge Duarte, Jr. has shown a knack for placing horses correctly on the turf, and Carol Cedeno gives this runner a live jockey angle. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's genuine value here versus some of the better-hyped names in the field.

place3Win StreetML 5/2

Win Street (3) pairs a strong 81.03 TrackWiz rating with a 54 average speed figure and draws Paco Lopez — one of the meet's premier riders — for trainer Michael J. Trombetta, who is consistently dangerous in grass maiden events. The 5/2 morning line makes this the public's second choice, and rightfully so — the combination of trainer, jockey, and speed figure makes Win Street a must-use in place and exacta spots.

show4Bigshot NessML 5/1

Bigshot Ness (4) posts a 76.31 rating in a race where the field drops off sharply after the top three, making him a logical show-position hedge at 5/1. Trainer Jamie Ness — presumably running the stable's own horse — typically arrives prepared, and Martin Chuan has the tactical awareness to position this runner well in a large field on the turf. Worth including in trifecta constructions underneath the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 5

2:28 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Two heavy hitters dominate this short-field starter optional claimer, with Kerness K and Silver Slugger combining for win percentages that dwarf the rest — this race shapes up as a true match race.

win3Kerness KML 4/5

Kerness K (3) is the standout of the entire card with a 90.0 TrackWiz rating, a 46% career win rate, and an average speed figure of 55. Paco Lopez takes the mount for trainer Jamie Ness, one of the more reliable outfits at this level, and at 4/5 on the morning line the market is saying exactly what our ratings say: this is a cut above. In a six-horse field, this is as close to a bankable play as you'll find on the card.

place6Silver SluggerML 6/5

Silver Slugger (6) is no slouch — an 81.62 rating, a 60% career win rate (the best of anyone in today's field), and a field-best 56 average speed figure make this a legitimate contender in her own right. Sonny Leon gets a live mount for Juan Carlos Avila, and if Kerness K has any issue, Silver Slugger is positioned to win outright. Even as a place play at 6/5, the win-rate numbers are hard to ignore.

show4Daufuskie IslandML 12/1

Daufuskie Island (4) at 12/1 morning line is worth a token show investment with a 19% career win rate and a 53 average speed figure that stacks up reasonably against the top two. Emanuel Rosario aboard for Jose Corrales gives this runner a fighting chance to pick up third if the chalk two battle each other. In a race this short on numbers, exotics with Daufuskie Island underneath offer a touch of upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

3:00 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Turf

A full field of maiden special weight fillies and mares on the turf at a mile and 70 yards creates a wide-open affair — the ratings are tightly clustered in the mid-50s for most of the field, making trainer and jockey angles especially important.

win8Ms SophisticationML 6/1

Ms Sophistication (8) tops our TrackWiz ratings for this race at 69.51, with a 54 average speed figure that puts her among the field's best. Trainer Jorge Duarte, Jr. has shown turf competence today with Flamenco Star in Race 4, and Paco Lopez makes the switch to this runner — always a meaningful signal when a top jockey opts into a mount. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's real value relative to the lower-rated horses posted at shorter odds.

place1VoluntaryML 5/2

Voluntary (1) draws Lopez's other assignment in this race — but note the program has Paco Lopez listed on both Voluntary and Ms Sophistication; our pick reflects the official assignment as listed. With a 57.5 rating and a 54 average speed figure, trainer Michael R. Matz is well-regarded in grass routes and 5/2 reflects the public's confidence in the connections. A logical place anchor for trifecta tickets.

show13Rocker RollerML 5/2

Rocker Roller (13) ties Voluntary's 57.5 rating and holds a 53 average speed figure, giving trainer Brittany T. Russell a competitive runner at 5/2 on the morning line. Sheldon Russell has the tactical sense for a route on the grass, and in a wide-open maiden field, getting third money is a realistic outcome for a horse with this profile. Solid trifecta piece, particularly if the top two draw away.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

Race 7

3:32 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A quality allowance optional claiming mile on the dirt features two horses — Intrepid Mo and Especially — that are clearly a class above the rest, setting up a match-race dynamic with serious exacta potential.

win2Intrepid MoML 2/1

Intrepid Mo (2) earns our top call with the race's highest TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and an exceptional 42% career win rate — by far the best in this field. Trainer Gary Capuano places horses well at this level, and Jose E. Vargas will look to take advantage of the 2-post in a one-turn mile. The 2/1 morning line is fair but not generous — this is a horse you play because the profile demands it, not for value.

place1EspeciallyML 3/1

Especially (1) is no secondhand pick — an 85.58 rating, a 28% career win rate, and a 54 average speed figure (best in the field) make this runner a legitimate win threat who simply got edged out in our ratings. Sheldon Russell for Brittany T. Russell is a strong connections angle, and the 3/1 morning line gives you just enough return to justify a place investment. This horse could easily flip the result with Intrepid Mo.

show4Old BayML 6/1

Old Bay (4) at 6/1 morning line gives exotic players a solid third wheel with a 73.21 rating and a 16% career win rate in what is otherwise a field of also-rans behind the top two. Julio A. Hernandez gives the Mark Shuman trainee a capable pilot, and the 51 average speed figure, while a touch below the top horses, is enough to compete for a share in this spot. Use underneath in trifectas as a value-priced third.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

4:04 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Baha Secret heads a competitive six-horse claiming sprint as a clear ratings leader, but Foxy Lady and the morning-line odds suggest the public expects a genuine battle — pace will be key over 5½ furlongs.

win3Baha SecretML 8/5

Baha Secret (3) is our best bet of the race with the field's top TrackWiz rating at 89.12 and a 25% career win rate that ties for tops in the field alongside True Sunshine. The 54 average speed figure is tied for best in the race, and trainer Mauricio Nunez sends out a horse that has been placed well throughout its career. Jesus M. Rios takes the mount, and at 8/5 on the morning line, this is a deserving favorite with the numbers to back it up.

place6Foxy LadyML 2/1

Foxy Lady (6) at 2/1 morning line is the public's second choice and holds a solid 71.79 rating with a 54 average speed figure — matching Baha Secret at the top of the field for raw speed. Paco Lopez aboard for Michael V. Simone is a formidable pairing in a sprint, and a 12% career win rate in claiming company suggests a horse that competes honestly and hits the board with regularity. Strong place play.

show4True SunshineML 10/1

True Sunshine (4) offers the best value in the field at 10/1 morning line with a 58.2 rating and a 25% career win rate — one of the highest in the field. Trainer Pedro Nazario fills the card with multiple runners today and has the stable running well. If the top two beat each other up on the front end, Paul A. Luna could guide True Sunshine to a third-money finish at a price that makes the trifecta worthwhile.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

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Bottom line: Delaware Park is dealing today with wet conditions that elevate pace analysis and off-track pedigree to must-know status. Our free picks — Real Talented, Dina's Touch, and Capt. Candy — give every reader a solid foundation for the early card. For the full eight-race breakdown, pace maps, exotic tickets, and the Kerness K deep-dive, the complete analysis is waiting for subscribers. Good luck at the windows.

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