Daily Picks

Century Mile Picks & Predictions — July 17, 2026

Friday, July 17, 20269 racesCentury Mile

Century Mile rolls out a nine-race Friday card on July 17th, and conditions are about as cooperative as you'll get in an Alberta summer — partly cloudy, 84°F, and the kind of afternoon that keeps the dirt consistent and speed figures honest. No weather excuses today; horses will have to earn it.

The card spans a nice range of distances, from a lightning-quick 350-yard quarter-horse dash in the opener all the way out to a route at 1 mile and 70 yards in Race 8. That variety means different pace scenarios and entirely different kinds of horses succeeding — which is exactly where good handicapping separates the casual player from the sharp one.

Three races are free for all TrackWiz readers, giving you solid coverage right out of the gate. The remaining six premium races are where the card really heats up — including a pair of Allowance Optional Claiming spots and two seven-furlong maiden specials that set up beautifully for multi-race horizontal plays.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:15 AM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A short-field quarter-horse sprint at 350 yards where TrackWiz ratings create a clear tier — but maiden sprints at this distance can flip on the break alone.

win3TotoughforyouML 9/5

Totoughforyou draws the 9/5 morning line and sits atop this field with a TrackWiz rating of 88.83 — a meaningful gap over the nearest rival. In a five-horse maiden sprint where every fraction happens in the blink of an eye, having the highest-rated horse breaking from post 3 is a genuine advantage. Trainer William H. Leech sends out Ricardo Moreno for the call, and the pairing looks live in what should be a competitive but manageable spot.

place4Inseperable CruiseML 7/2

Inseperable Cruise (No. 4) rates second in this field at 77.78 and represents the Kenway barn, which also has One Sweet Cruise in the race — a sign connections believe in this horse. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's legitimate value in using Inseperable Cruise underneath in exactas and quinellas, particularly if the favorite gets a rough break in this quick 350-yard dash.

show2GiggetteML 2/1

Giggette opens at 2/1 as the public's second choice and backs it up with a TrackWiz rating of 72.58, third-best in the field. Trainer Misael Moreno has Daniel Tavares in the irons, and the 2/1 price suggests the morning line compiler agrees this filly belongs near the top. She's a solid show anchor for multi-leg tickets.

Race 2

12:45 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

Nine first-time starters go 4½ furlongs on the dirt in a wide-open MSW where the morning line is spread thin — no horse opens below 5/2, making this a puzzle worth attacking with exotics.

win8CentellaML 5/2

Centella draws the 5/2 morning line and tops the TrackWiz leaderboard at 57.50 in a field where the margins between horses are tight. Trainer Milton Palma sends her out with Jose Mariano Asencio up, a jockey who has been active at Century Mile and knows how to get a first-timer into stride early over this surface. In a sprint packed with unknowns, Centella's edge in our ratings and the public's respect at the short price make her the most logical win anchor.

place2Bakken TownML 3/1

Bakken Town (No. 2) opens at 3/1 and rates 56.67 — just a hair behind Centella — with Tim Rycroft training and Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez in the tack. Rycroft is comfortable dropping first-timers into sprint routes, and the 3/1 price gives you workable value in exacta boxes with the top pick. If there's any pace pressure from the gate, Bakken Town looks like a horse who could settle into a comfortable stalking trip.

show5Stuck in LodiML 6/1

Stuck in Lodi (No. 5) is another James R. Brown trainee — Brown also has Wicked Grandpa in the field — and opens at 6/1 with Silvino Morales aboard. The rating of 51.67 ties two others in the field, but 6/1 on a horse from a trainer who clearly came to play with two entries is worth a look in show parlays and trifecta bottoms.

Race 3

1:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The Tim Rycroft barn dominates this six-furlong claimer with two entries sitting at the top of the TrackWiz ratings — expect a pace scenario that sets up a sharp stretch run.

win4Concrete CowboyML 9/5

Concrete Cowboy is the TrackWiz top pick here at 88.83, matching the highest score on today's card, and the Rycroft/Gonzalez combo gives him a sharp angle. The 9/5 morning line reflects his standing, and a 16% career win rate gives some confidence that this horse knows how to finish — he's not just a class drone. At six furlongs, Gonzalez can rate him behind early speed and unleash him in the stretch for what projects as a powerful late kick.

place3Last HarborML 2/1

Last Harbor (No. 3) is the most compelling place profile in any race today — a 33% career win rate is genuinely elite at this level and tells you this horse runs his race consistently. Trainer Tim Rycroft doubles up in this race, and having Asencio on Last Harbor while Gonzalez handles Concrete Cowboy suggests connections have confidence in both. At 2/1, he's live to flip the script on his stablemate if Concrete Cowboy gets into trouble early.

show5Tennessee MosesML 8/5

Tennessee Moses opens at 8/5 — slightly shorter than Concrete Cowboy — and posts the field's top average speed figure at 55, a tick above the other contenders. A 17% career win rate paired with Alexander Marti in the irons makes him a real factor. He's the kind of horse who could press the pace and still find the wire in front, making him a necessary inclusion in trifecta tickets.

Our three free picks today hit a range of race types — a short-field maiden sprint, a six-furlong claimer, and a Maiden Special Weight — and they share a common theme: early speed on what looks like a track that should favor horses able to get out and control their own destiny. Totoughforyou opens the card in the 350-yard dash at morning-line odds of 9/5, and with a TrackWiz rating of 88.83, that's one of the strongest scores on the entire card. Keep an eye on that one as an anchor for your early Pick 3.

In Race 3, Concrete Cowboy matches that same 88.83 rating in a six-furlong claimer — the two top-rated horses on the free slate both sitting at 9/5 on the morning line is not a coincidence, and it tells you the morning-line maker respects their back class. Centella bridges those two in Race 2, a 4½-furlong MSW where the 57.5 rating signals a more wide-open affair. That's your race to go deeper in the exotics rather than leaning on the top choice alone.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:55 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

The 4/5 morning-line favorite Septimus looks beatable on paper — TrackWiz ratings actually flip the order significantly, opening the door for some juicy value prices in this six-furlong allowance.

win2River SevenML 10/1

River Seven is our value play at 10/1 morning line, but our analysis puts him at the top of this field with a TrackWiz rating of 76.88 — actually higher than the heavy favorite Septimus. Trainer Joan Petrowski sends out Brian Boodramsingh, and at a mile equivalent sprint, the 14% career win rate is respectable. If the public loads up on Septimus and River Seven hits the board, you're looking at a potential payoff that makes this card worthwhile.

place3Genie's RideML 6/1

Genie's Ride (No. 3) rates 72.93 with a 16% career win rate and Kimal Santo in the irons for trainer Dino K. Condilenios. At 6/1 on the morning line, she's one of the better-priced horses in the field and profiles as a presser who could use a fast pace set by the favorite to close ground. In exotics, pairing her with River Seven creates a nice middle-price exacta combination.

show1SeptimusML 4/5

Septimus opens at 4/5 and carries a 50% career win rate — that number is hard to ignore even if our ratings don't love him here. Trainer Robert Van Overschot and jockey Amadeo Perez are a familiar pairing, and half a dozen wins from his career starts says he knows how to fire. He's likely to hit the board even if he doesn't steal the show, making him a reasonable show play for conservative bettors.

Race 5

2:25 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse maiden special weight at seven furlongs hides a significant TrackWiz overlay — our top-rated horse opens at 12/1 while the public appears fixated on the 2/1 morning-line favorite.

win9See Me Do ItML 12/1

See Me Do It is the TrackWiz value play of the race, topping the field at 73.96 while sitting at 12/1 on the morning line — a substantial disconnect between public perception and our analysis. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson has Dane Nelson up, and while the 52 average speed figure is modest, the rating gap between See Me Do It and Riptide Beauty (58.33) is significant enough to warrant a serious look. In a field of maiden runners where the chalk is far from certain, this is the kind of price angle that can make a card profitable.

place3Riptide BeautyML 2/1

Riptide Beauty (No. 3) is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and rates second in the field at 58.33 with an average speed figure of 54 — consistent with the upper tier. Trainer Kevin N. Scott puts Antonio Ambrosio Reyes on board, and the public's confidence in the 2/1 price is understandable. She profiles as a pace-presser who could easily wire this field if the others don't show up, making her a must-include underneath our longshot top pick.

show8Golden GooseML 4/1

Golden Goose (No. 8) opens at 4/1 and rates 55.40 with a 54 average speed figure — right in line with the leaders. Trainer Tom Rycroft and jockey Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez is one of the stronger partnerships in the barn area at Century Mile, and with first-time starters this connection can coax a sharper-than-expected debut effort. He's a natural fit as a show anchor and trifecta piece.

Race 6

2:55 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Ten horses go 6½ furlongs in a claiming race where two horses with similar morning-line prices are separated sharply by TrackWiz ratings — and the public may not catch the difference.

win2H K MimiML 6/1

H K Mimi (No. 2) leads this field in our ratings at 82.71 and carries a 28% career win rate — the second-highest in the field — telling you this mare finds the winner's circle more often than not. Trainer Tom Rycroft and jockey Jose Mariano Asencio are a confident pairing, and at 6/1 on the morning line, you're getting solid value for a horse our model rates clearly above the morning-line choice. She's the kind of claiming runner who can take control mid-race and never look back.

place8Light Fast FeetML 5/2

Light Fast Feet (No. 8) rates 81.38 — just a whisker behind H K Mimi — and opens at 5/2 with N'Rico Prescod in the irons for trainer Ron Grieves. An average speed figure of 54 and a 17% career win rate say she's competitive at this level, and her shorter price reflects that the market has noticed. She looks like the most likely horse to run H K Mimi down if our top pick gets into any kind of trouble.

show10Betty JoML 6/1

Betty Jo (No. 10) rates 67.84 with a 15% career win rate and opens at 6/1 — a mid-range price for a horse with legitimate form. Trainer Anderson Ward, who also sends out Diplomatica, seems to prefer Betty Jo as the main stable hope here, and Antonio Ambrosio Reyes is a capable pilot. She's the right price for a trifecta slot and gives exotics coverage in a wide-open bottom half of the field.

Race 7

3:25 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Dirt

Twelve runners in a seven-furlong maiden special weight creates a chaotic pace scenario — the heavy favorite Celosia is well below our top-rated horse, suggesting the public may be pricing this one incorrectly.

win7Dr BrokerML 6/1

Dr Broker (No. 7) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 while opening at 6/1 — significantly overlaid compared to the 6/5 morning-line favorite. Trainer Tim Rycroft brings Jose Mariano Asencio, one of the busier and more effective jockeys at Century Mile, and the 53 average speed figure is competitive with the field's upper tier. In a 12-horse maiden with uncertain pace, getting a Rycroft-trained horse at 6/1 is a spot where the value is simply too good to pass up.

place5Big Bad BizookeML 5/1

Big Bad Bizooke (No. 5) is the second-highest rated horse in the race at 67.26 and opens at 5/1 with Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez aboard for Tim Rycroft — yes, the same trainer has two horses in here, which is a bullish sign. An average speed figure of 54 matches the more fancied runners, and at 5/1 you're getting a fair price on what our model sees as a legitimate contender. If Dr Broker wins, Bizooke is the logical exacta partner.

show8CelosiaML 6/5

Celosia (No. 8) is the 6/5 favorite and will almost certainly take the bulk of the win pool, but our analysis has her third in the ratings at 59.67 — a notable gap behind Dr Broker. That said, 6/5 says the public expects her to run well, and with Brian Boodramsingh up for Mel Snow, she's not without credentials. She's serviceable in a show role if you're building a wide trifecta or looking for a safe landing spot.

Race 8

3:55 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A nine-horse allowance optional claiming at a mile and 70 yards features a clear class standout at the top of the TrackWiz board — but two live longshots lurk underneath at prices that could make this card's best exotics.

win5Rip Riding AwayML 9/5

Rip Riding Away (No. 5) carries our highest rating of the day at 88.83 — the same benchmark score — and checks every box in this spot: a 30% career win rate, the field's top average speed figure of 55, and trainer Craig Robert Smith putting Kimal Santo in the irons. At a mile and 70 yards, front-runners and pace-pressers get tested in the stretch, and Rip Riding Away's figures suggest he has enough gas to sustain the effort. The 9/5 morning line is warranted.

place7LoveaboveandbeyondML 5/1

Loveaboveandbeyond (No. 7) is genuinely fascinating underneath — a 35% career win rate is the highest in this field, yet he opens at 5/1. Trainer Marvin Buffalo has Amadeo Perez in the saddle, and a 54 average speed figure puts him right in the mix with the top trio. The combination of a high win rate and a fair price makes him the most compelling place/show value on the board in Race 8.

show2InxpressML 5/1

Inxpress (No. 2) profiles as a consistent type — 17% career win rate, a 54 average speed figure, and trainer Tom Rycroft again showing up in the key races with Jose Mariano Asencio. At 5/1 on the morning line, he's priced about right for what his profile suggests, and at a route distance where pace scenarios can scramble the order, having a Rycroft horse at that number is worth a show investment and trifecta inclusion.

Race 9

4:25 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The nightcap is a loaded allowance optional claiming at 6½ furlongs where three horses cluster above 83 in TrackWiz ratings — this shapes up as the best and most competitive race on the card.

win3King ElvisML 5/2

King Elvis (No. 3) leads our ratings at 87.81 and posts the field's top average speed figure at 56 — a meaningful edge in a sprint where early fractions decide everything. Trainer Tom Rycroft and jockey Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez is one of the meet's sharper combos, and a 13% career win rate in what appears to be a competitive career says King Elvis earns his spots. At 5/2 morning line, he's the rightful favorite in our eyes and the foundation for all tickets.

place5RockcliffeML 7/2

Rockcliffe (No. 5) rates second at 85.24 with a 21% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55 — right behind King Elvis. Trainer Tim Rycroft has both King Elvis and Rockcliffe in this race through his associated connections, and with Jose Mariano Asencio aboard, Rockcliffe is dangerous from the rail draw. At 7/2, he's legitimately live to reverse the order if King Elvis gets shuffled in a contentious early pace.

show6PuttingonthefoilML 5/1

Puttingonthefoil (No. 6) is a striking show option at 5/1 — a 30% career win rate rivals the best in this field, and Gonzalo Anderson has Dane Nelson up, a capable combo. The 83.61 TrackWiz rating puts him third overall, and his style at 53 average speed suggests he may be a closer who benefits if King Elvis and Rockcliffe press each other into submission through the first half-mile.

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Today's best bets on the free slate are Totoughforyou in Race 1 and Concrete Cowboy in Race 3 — both carry the highest TrackWiz ratings on the card and come in at accessible morning-line prices. Approach Race 2 with Centella as your top choice but spread wider in the exotics. For the full picture — pace projections, longshot angles, and a complete multi-race wager strategy — unlock the premium card at TrackWiz premium. Good luck at Century Mile today.

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