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Century Mile Picks & Predictions — May 29, 2026

May 29, 20269 racesAll Century Mile picks

This card ran on May 29, 2026.

Best bets at Century Mile, May 29, 2026

Race 11Flight ClubML 2/18:15 PM EDT

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It's a wet one at Century Mile today. Rain is falling with temperatures sitting at 83°F, and that combination means the dirt is going to be playing differently than what you've seen on a dry spring afternoon. Track bias is a real factor on days like this — horses that love a sloppy or sealed surface can steal races they have no business winning on paper, and the ones who hate getting mud in their face can evaporate fast.

We've got a nine-race card to work through today, mixing Quarter Horse sprints in the early races with a string of six-furlong dirt routes that dominate the back half of the card. The conditions are messy but the opportunities are real. TrackWiz analysis has identified standouts in every race — three of them available free to all readers, six more locked in for subscribers.

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Race 1

8:15 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

William Leech saddles the two top-rated horses in this 300-yard dirt sprint, making it essentially a barn rivalry at the top — but trainer Stockwell could crash the party with two live runners of his own.

win1Flight ClubML 2/1

Flight Club is the highest-rated horse in the field at 88.54 and lands in the morning line at 2/1, which feels about right for a horse this dominant on paper. What separates Flight Club from the rest is a career win rate of 65% — that's an elite number for any horse at any level. Trainer William Leech clearly knows what he's doing with this runner, and Alexander Marti gets the call for what looks like the barn's top entry. In a race this short, gate speed and raw ability rule everything, and Flight Club has both.

place4FiredML 9/5

Fired (No. 4) is the other Leech runner in this race and comes in with a solid 77.61 TrackWiz rating and a 27% career win rate. At 9/5 on the morning line, the market respects this horse, and with the same trainer doing double duty, you know Fired is fit and ready. In a five-horse 300-yard sprint, getting two Leech horses in the top two spots is a very realistic outcome.

show3First Famous PrizeML 5/1

First Famous Prize checks in at a 70.04 rating and carries a 41% career win rate for trainer Buckey Stockwell at 5/1 odds. Stockwell also has Team Rip 109 in the race, suggesting he's not here just to fill a field — and First Famous Prize is clearly the stable's preferred entry with a much higher morning line than stablemate Team Rip 109. In short sprints like this, every horse has a puncher's chance, and at 5/1, First Famous Prize offers decent exotic value as the third wheel.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

8:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

A wide-open 300-yard dash where the top three ratings are separated by just 15 points — expect a tight finish and plenty of live longshot action in this short-field sprint.

win3Insta BondML 5/2

Insta Bond tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and goes postward at 5/2 on the morning line — a fair price for the top-rated horse. Trainer Craig Robert Smith is well-represented here, and J.B. Botello gets the mount after the same jockey-trainer combo saddled Flash Me a Corona in Race 1. In a six-horse 300-yard sprint, raw ability matters most, and Insta Bond's rating advantage over the field is real enough to take seriously.

place1Wagon Burner 109ML 2/1

Wagon Burner 109 (No. 1) posts an 81.08 rating and is actually the morning-line favorite at 2/1, which creates a mild overlay situation on Insta Bond. Trainer Buckey Stockwell has a strong day going with multiple entries, and Miguel Angel Lopez — who also had a mount in Race 1 — keeps the riding assignment. A 16% career win rate doesn't scream dominant, but this horse's raw rating and market support make it a very logical place contender.

show6Rocn On WestML 5/1

Rocn On West at 5/1 is the third-best rated horse in the field at 72.54 and carries a respectable 25% career win rate under trainer Wesley Oulton. Oulton also has O La Dee Da in the race, but Rocn On West's significantly higher rating (72.54 vs. 54.12) makes this the stable's live bullet. In 300-yard sprints, the show slot is often a chaotic scramble, and a horse with a legitimate top-three rating and 5/1 odds is solid exotic insurance.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races on the card are on us. Races 1 and 2 are 300-yard Quarter Horse sprints — pure explosions off the gate where fractional times barely exist and the best athlete usually wins. Flight Club (R1, 2/1 morning line) and Insta Bond (R2, 5/2) both graded out with strong TrackWiz ratings in the high 80s, and in these ultra-short formats, that edge matters more than ever.

Race 3 is where casual fans should pay close attention. Miss Larue opens as the heavy 4/5 favorite in a six-furlong maiden claiming sprint, and she earned the highest TrackWiz rating of our three free picks at a clean 90. On a rain-affected track, her profile is worth a close look — maiden claimers can be volatile, but a 4/5 chalk hitting a 90 rating on wet dirt is a combination that deserves respect, not fading.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

9:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Miss Larue enters as a heavy 4/5 morning-line chalk in a maiden claiming sprint, but Benzene lurks as a legitimate threat to spoil the party at a tasty price.

win2Miss LarueML 4/5

Miss Larue owns the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at a clean 90.00 and backs it up with an average speed figure of 53 — tied for second-best in the race but paired with a dominant overall profile. Trainer Mel Snow has her installed as the 4/5 morning-line favorite, which reflects market confidence that's hard to argue against. In maiden claiming company at 6 furlongs, a horse with this kind of rating separation doesn't need to be bet with caution — she just needs to break clean.

place5BenzeneML 5/1

Benzene is the most interesting horse in the race at 5/1 with a 77.94 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 52 under trainer David Nicholson. There's a meaningful gap between Benzene and the next group (Blue Apple Seven at 55.00, Porter's Princess and Atta Boy Girl tied at 51.67), which makes this a clear two-horse race at the top. The 5/1 morning line gives you real value on a horse that has every reason to finish second.

show1Blue Apple SevenML 4/1

Blue Apple Seven (No. 1) checks in at a 55.00 rating with an average speed figure of 51 for trainer Joan Petrowski, landing at 4/1 on the morning line. While the rating gap between Blue Apple Seven and the top two is notable, this is maiden claiming territory where pace collapses happen and closers can sneak into the exotics. At 4/1, including Blue Apple Seven underneath Miss Larue and Benzene in trifectas makes good financial sense.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

9:45 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

No horse in this maiden claiming field has ever won a race, making the form book essentially a blank slate — pace scenario and trainer patterns carry extra weight when past performances offer little to separate the field.

win6HabadabadooML 5/2

Habadabadoo tops the TrackWiz ratings at 69.27 and goes at 5/2 with trainer Monica Russell sending out what appears to be a well-prepared runner. An average speed figure of 51 is the baseline here, and while Habadabadoo's figure isn't tops on raw speed (Are Gee, Zipliner, and Cool Boe all show 52-53), the overall profile edges out the competition when the full picture is considered. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes takes the mount, and in a wide-open maiden field, the top-rated horse hitting the board at a reasonable price is the percentage play.

place3Chaotic SkyML 8/5

Chaotic Sky (No. 3) is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 despite a 59.00 rating, suggesting the market knows something about this horse's workouts or physical condition that pure ratings don't capture. Trainer Ron Grieves also has Handsome Henry in the field, but Chaotic Sky's significantly higher rating and shorter morning line identify this as the barn's preferred contender. No recorded average speed figure means we're working on projection here, but the market support is impossible to ignore.

show4Moon MullinsML 9/5

Moon Mullins at 9/5 sits at 50.12 on the TrackWiz scale with a 52 average speed figure for trainer Joan Petrowski. The morning line is short for a show selection, which tells you the market sees a tight three-horse battle at the top of this field. Brian Boodramsingh rides, and in a first-out field where chaos rules the day, having a Petrowski horse with some speed behind it in your exotic tickets is a reasonable hedge.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

10:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Tennessee Moses comes in as the short-priced favorite in this claiming sprint, but Alberta Berbon's TrackWiz rating nearly matches the chalk — and at 5/1, the value case for an upset is real.

win2Tennessee MosesML 3/5

Tennessee Moses posts a 85.24 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 54, putting the chalk right at the top of the field on multiple metrics. Trainer Ron Grieves also runs Handsome Henry in this spot, but Tennessee Moses is clearly the preferred entry given the rating gap and the 3/5 morning line. N'Rico Prescod rides, and with a career win rate of just 6%, there's some vulnerability in that record — but the raw ability indicators suggest the win percentage may be misleading given the class of competition previously faced.

place6Alberta BerbonML 5/1

Alberta Berbon is the sneaky value play here at 5/1 with a 84.17 rating that nearly matches Tennessee Moses — only 1.07 points separate the two on the TrackWiz scale. An average speed figure of 54 is identical to the favorite, meaning this isn't a horse that just looks good on paper; the clock backs it up. Trainer Jerri R. Robertson sends out Keihton Natera, and if Tennessee Moses gets into any trouble at all, Alberta Berbon is right there to pounce.

show1PickledagainML 6/1

Pickledagain (No. 1) checks in at 59.69 with a career win rate of 16% and an average speed figure of 52 — a step off the top two but clearly ahead of the rest of the field. Trainer Jennifer Reichling and Alexander Marti are a capable combination, and at 6/1 morning line, this horse offers genuine exotic upside. In a six-horse claiming field with a short-priced favorite, the show slot can get interesting fast, and Pickledagain's rating cushion over the bottom half of the field is worth noting.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

10:45 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Great King stands out as the class of this starter allowance field with the top rating by a wide margin, but Drill's Li'l Man and Mendeljohn offer legitimate value underneath in what shapes up as a competitive supporting cast.

win2Great KingML 9/5

Great King (No. 2) owns the highest TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.83 and posts an average speed figure of 57 — the best raw speed number in the entire race. Trainer Laurie Ferguson has this horse dialed in at 9/5, and Keihton Natera is a sharp jockey booking. A 16% career win rate is modest, but the speed and rating numbers say this horse has the talent to put it all together at this level in starter allowance company.

place5Drill's Li'l ManML 6/1

Drill's Li'l Man is a genuine value angle at 6/1 with a 74.98 rating and an average speed figure of 56 — second-best in the field on raw speed. Trainer Colleen O'Hagan also has Winter Falcon in the race, but Drill's Li'l Man's higher rating and stronger speed figure make it the barn's live contender. A 21% career win rate is nothing to sneeze at, and Brian Boodramsingh has been busy on the card today — he knows this circuit.

show6MendeljohnML 5/2

Mendeljohn slots in at 67.81 on the TrackWiz scale with a 22% career win rate — that's the best winning percentage among the top three picks in this race. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson runs two horses here (Mendeljohn and Our Bold Prince), and the fact that Mendeljohn opens at 5/2 while Our Bold Prince is 5/1 tells you exactly which one the barn believes in. At 5/2, Mendeljohn isn't a screaming overlay, but the consistent winning profile makes it a reliable exotic anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

11:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Mamba On Three is the even-money morning-line hammer in this five-furlong claiming dash, and with a 90.00 TrackWiz rating, this looks like a horse that belongs in a better race — but the supporting cast isn't without teeth.

win8Mamba On ThreeML EVN

Mamba On Three hits the ceiling on the TrackWiz rating scale at 90.00 and pairs it with a 55 average speed figure in a field where no horse tops that number. Posted at even money by trainer Jerri R. Robertson, the market clearly agrees with the ratings, and Keihton Natera picks up another live mount on what has been a busy and productive card for him. A 21% career win rate in a game this hard is solid, and when a horse tops the field by this wide a margin on every metric, you roll with it.

place1Wedge PondML 7/2

Wedge Pond (No. 1) has the highest career win rate of any top-tier contender in this field at 31% — that's a number that stands out in a claiming field like this. A 64.45 TrackWiz rating and a 55 average speed figure keep this horse firmly in the mix, and trainer James R. Brown has Richard Balgobin aboard for a horse that knows how to win. At 7/2, Wedge Pond offers fair value as the most reliable finisher on paper.

show4Somthing ElusiveML 8/1

Somthing Elusive (No. 4) checks in at 58.29 with a 54 average speed figure and a 13% career win rate for trainer Pat Jarvis. The 8/1 morning line makes this an interesting exotic play in an eight-horse field where the chalk figures to attract heavy money. Kimal Santo takes the mount, and if the pace gets honest up front, a horse with this kind of rating sitting in the middle of the pack could sneak into the trifecta at a price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 8

11:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Three horses are bunched within three points of each other on the TrackWiz scale in this six-furlong claiming sprint, setting up a genuine photo-finish scenario with real wagering angles in all three spots.

win5FrostedbirdML 5/2

Frostedbird tops the field at 81.38 with the best average speed figure in the race at 56 and a 19% career win rate for trainer Gonzalo Anderson. Dane Nelson gets the call and has been one of the busier jockeys on today's card. The 5/2 morning line is reasonable for the top-rated horse, and the speed figure edge is meaningful in a six-furlong dirt sprint where fractions matter.

place1Bon PrixML 2/1

Bon Prix opens at 2/1 as the morning-line favorite despite ranking second in TrackWiz ratings at 79.19 — the market clearly respects this horse's record, which includes the best career win rate among the top three at 32%. Trainer James Wyness sends out Ridge Balgobin aboard a horse averaging 55 in speed figures, and that combination of consistency and a strong winning percentage makes Bon Prix a legitimate contender who could easily flip the result on Frostedbird.

show2PachecoML 7/2

Pacheco (No. 2) rounds out a very tight top three with a 78.17 rating, a 26% career win rate, and a 54 average speed figure. At 7/2, Pacheco is almost an exact overlay given how close these three horses are on the TrackWiz scale — less than three points separate first from third. Trainer Tom Rycroft and Jose Mariano Asencio are a workmanlike combo, and in trifecta play, boxing these three makes a lot of sense given the near-identical profiles.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 9

12:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Buck's Fizz enters as the clear top-rated horse in a nine-runner claiming field, while Squalotoro lurks as a sneaky live threat at 4/1 — the rest of this field is playing for scraps.

win5Buck's FizzML 5/2

Buck's Fizz sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and pairs it with a 55 average speed figure in a race where very few horses can match that combination. Trainer Jason Coney sends out Jose Mariano Asencio — who has been active all afternoon — and the 5/2 morning line reflects a healthy market endorsement without being prohibitively short. A 13% career win rate might give some bettors pause, but in a nine-horse field at a mid-level claiming price, the rating advantage here is hard to bet against.

place8SqualotoroML 4/1

Squalotoro (No. 8) is the most compelling horse in this field on a pure value basis — a 78.62 TrackWiz rating and a 55 average speed figure at 4/1 morning line. Trainer Carson Frey and Alexander Marti are aboard a horse with an 11% career win rate that may simply have been facing tougher spots previously. The gap between Squalotoro and the rest of the field below the top two is significant, making this horse the logical second choice in every exotic combination.

show1Mob BossML 6/1

Mob Boss (No. 1) brings the best career win rate of the show contenders at 21% and a 6/1 morning line that offers genuine trifecta value. Trainer Anderson Ward has this horse sporting a 57.47 TrackWiz rating with a 53 average speed figure — not flashy, but consistent. In a nine-horse field with a lot of low-rated horses filling the bottom half of the field, a horse with a 21% career win percentage sitting at 6/1 is exactly the kind of closer you want in your trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line: Century Mile is dealing cards on wet dirt today, and the rain is the hidden handicapper in every race. Miss Larue is the marquee free play, Flight Club and Insta Bond open the card with quick-hit value, and Mamba On Three is the headliner in the premium half of the card. Full pace projections, exotic tickets, and race-by-race breakdowns are waiting for you at /pricing. Good luck out there — and watch that rail.

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