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Ajax Downs Picks & Predictions — May 27, 2026

May 27, 20267 racesAll Ajax Downs picks

This card ran on May 27, 2026.

Best bets at Ajax Downs, May 27, 2026

Race 14Runawey PerryML 8/53:30 PM EDT

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Happy Wednesday at Ajax Downs. Clear skies and a comfortable 71°F greet us today, which means a fast, consistent dirt surface and no weather excuses — these sprinters will have to earn it on pure ability. We've got a 7-race card packed with quarter-horse action, ranging from 110-yard blink-and-you-miss-it dashes all the way out to 300-yard tests of speed and class.

The mix of Speed Index races, Maidens, and Allowance spots gives us plenty of angles to work with. Speed Index races — for those newer to the format — use timed performances to group horses of similar ability, which tends to produce tight, competitive fields. That means value can hide in plain sight if you know where to look. Today's card has a little bit of everything, and our TrackWiz ratings are pointing to some sharp plays up and down the card.

Best Bets

Race 1

3:30 PM EDT

Speed Index Race · 250 yd · Dirt

A clear top selection towers over the field in this 250-yard opener, but the second and third choices are tightly bunched and could make for an interesting exacta battle.

win4Runawey PerryML 8/5

Runawey Perry is the standout of this field and it's not particularly close — a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 is more than 32 points clear of the next-best horse. Trainer Bob Broadstock sends this one out with a 28% career win rate backing the horse, which is a strong foundation for a short-field sprint like this. At 8/5 on the morning line, the price reflects the form, but in a 250-yard dash where raw talent explodes quickly, that kind of rating edge is hard to bet against. This is your best bet in Race 1.

place1Run Away SugarmanML 5/2

Run Away Sugarman (No. 1, 5/2) is the second-highest-rated horse in the field at 57.07, which is a comfortable step above Fire Hot Stuff. Trainer Corey Illman and jockey Corry Beland team up here with a horse sitting at a fair morning-line price. With only 4% career wins noted, this one profiles more as a place-and-show type than an outright winner — exactly the role we're asking it to fill.

show3Fire Hot StuffML 2/1

Fire Hot Stuff (No. 3, 2/1) carries a 54.96 rating and is trained by Jason Pascoe with Cristian Benitez in the irons — a pairing worth noting at Ajax Downs. The morning line of 2/1 makes this one of the shorter prices in the field despite being the show pick, so it's not a value play, but it provides a solid safety net in trifecta coverage if Runawey Perry romps and the second and third slots get sorted out behind.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:55 PM EDT

Speed Index Race · 250 yd · Dirt

Relentless Betty brings the top rating and a jaw-dropping win percentage, but this six-horse field has enough rating spread to make the exacta and trifecta pools interesting.

win5Relentless BettyML 3/1

Relentless Betty is the easy top selection here — a 87.08 TrackWiz rating combined with a 46% career win rate is a genuinely elite profile for this level. Trainer James Bogar already has a second runner in this race in Fishin for Coronas, which speaks to his confidence in the conditions. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's still a bit of juice here — a nearly 50% win rate doesn't come up against these conditions every day. Relentless Betty is our Race 2 best bet.

place4Ivory QueenML 5/2

Ivory Queen (No. 4, 5/2) is second in the TrackWiz ratings at 79.04 and brings a 21% career win rate under trainer Jason Pascoe and jockey Cristian Benitez. That Pascoe-Benitez combo is active throughout tonight's card, and their familiarity with Ajax Downs conditions is a plus. The 5/2 morning line feels tight for a place pick, but the rating separation from the mid-field horses is clear enough to trust this one to hit the board.

show1Fishin for CoronasML 15/1

Fishin for Coronas (No. 1, 15/1) is an interesting inclusion here — despite the long morning-line price, this horse carries a 69.58 rating and a 25% career win rate, both of which are respectable. Trainer James Bogar stables this one alongside the race's top pick, so there's house confidence in the form. In a six-horse field where the favorites could battle each other, Fishin for Coronas at a big price makes for a very attractive trifecta leg.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

We're giving away full breakdowns on the first three races today, and they set the tone nicely. Runawey Perry opens the card as our top-rated horse of the day at 89.12 — the highest mark on the entire card — and goes postward at a juicy 8/5 morning line in Race 1's 250-yard Speed Index sprint. In Race 2, Relentless Betty (87.08 rating, 3/1 ML) gives us another strong number in what figures to be a closely-matched Speed Index field. Then Race 3 stretches to 300 yards for a Maiden event where Louie B Gone (86.35, 7/2 ML) stands out from a group of first-timers and lightly-raced runners.

The common thread across these three free races: our ratings favor horses with legitimate speed numbers on a day when the fast, dry Ajax dirt should reward front-runners. If you see early pace dominating in Races 1 and 2, file that away — it could matter in the longer 300-yard spots later on the card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

4:20 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden field at 300 yards with all first-time winners — this is a form student's puzzle, and the TrackWiz ratings tell a story the morning line only partially agrees with.

win6Louie B GoneML 7/2

Louie B Gone (No. 6, 7/2) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field with an 86.35, which is a significant gap over the second-rated Twice the Rush at 77.92. Trainer Bob Broadstock puts Ramiro Sanchez Castillo in the irons — the same rider-trainer combo aboard tonight's Race 1 top pick — so there's a recognizable pattern of confidence here. The morning line at 7/2 is fair value for the top-rated horse in an all-maiden sprint, and in a 300-yard race where raw ability is everything, that rating edge matters. Don't overthink this one.

place4Twice the RushML 3/1

Twice the Rush (No. 4, 3/1) carries a solid 77.92 rating under trainer Chantelle Bourgeois and jockey Cristian Benitez. Bourgeois has two runners in this field, which suggests she's confident in track conditions tonight. At 3/1 on the morning line, this horse is priced like a contender rather than a place play, which gives some exacta value if Louie B Gone leads the way.

show2Suit UpML 5/1

Suit Up (No. 2, 5/1) rounds out the top three in the TrackWiz ratings at 72.24, giving trainer Scott Reid and jockey D I Benitez a legitimate contender at a price. The gap between Suit Up and the bottom two horses in this field — Stonecutter Form at 36.67 and Tragically Ripped at 31.88 — is large enough to feel confident in this one's board position. A 5/1 morning-line show horse is a nice trifecta anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

4:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 110 yd · Dirt

The morning line heavily favors three closely priced runners in this 110-yard maiden sprint, but our TrackWiz analysis flips the script — the longest-priced pick among the contenders grades out on top.

win5Lil PhylerML 10/1

Lil Phyler (No. 5, 10/1) is our top selection here despite being dismissed on the morning line — the TrackWiz rating of 76.88 is the highest in the field, and at 110 yards, raw athletic ability off the gate is the entire race. Trainer Jason Pascoe puts Jesus Ambrocio Medina in the irons, and Pascoe is a multi-runner presence on tonight's card, suggesting a strong feel for the conditions. The double-digit morning line makes this a genuine value play: if the ratings hold, you're getting 10/1 on the best horse in the field. That's the kind of overlay that pays for a full night at the track.

place3Aspen TML 7/2

Aspen T (No. 3, 7/2) slots in second in the TrackWiz ratings at 75.23, just a whisker behind Lil Phyler. Trainer Joe Tavares runs two horses in this race, and Cassandra Jeschke rides — a rider who's also aboard Justt Jackson in Race 3, showing strong book tonight. The 7/2 price is fair for a horse this close to the top of the ratings, and it's a natural exacta partner with the win pick.

show1Money MoufML 5/2

Money Mouf (No. 1, 5/2) brings a 73.3 TrackWiz rating and is trained by Brooke Sisson, who also runs Turnpike Tripping in this same field. Ramiro Sanchez Castillo gets the call here, and he's been active throughout tonight's card. The horse is priced as a morning-line second choice, so there won't be much value in straight wagering, but it rounds out the top three in ratings and makes a logical trifecta inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

5:10 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

Peighntmeadiamond stands out clearly in the ratings among this allowance field, but the eye-catching 100% career win rate on Chillin With Peeps demands at least a second look before you fill out your tickets.

win4PeighntmeadiamondML 5/2

Peighntmeadiamond (No. 4, 5/2) is the class of this allowance field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 — a clear top figure — and a 14% career win rate that's respectable in a longer-form campaign. Trainer Joe Tavares and jockey Brian Bell form a combo that's been competitive throughout tonight's card. At 5/2 on the morning line, this is a fairly priced top pick, and in a 300-yard allowance where experience and rating consistency matter, Peighntmeadiamond is the one to beat.

place2Working Class HeroML 3/1

Working Class Hero (No. 2, 3/1) checks in with a 65.26 rating and a 25% career win rate under trainer Scott Reid and jockey D I Benitez — both of whom are among the most active connections on the card tonight. The 25% career win rate is genuinely solid and suggests this horse knows how to hit the board. At 3/1, there's enough price to make this a worthwhile place ticket alongside the top pick.

show1Chillin With PeepsML 7/2

Chillin With Peeps (No. 1, 7/2) carries a 100% career win rate, which is impossible to ignore even if the sample size behind that number is unknown. Trainer Chantelle Bourgeois and jockey Cassandra Jeschke team up here, and Bourgeois has multiple runners across tonight's program showing strong stable confidence. The TrackWiz rating of 55.83 trails the top two picks, but a perfect win record in prior starts makes this a horse you want somewhere in your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

5:35 PM EDT

Speed Index Race · 300 yd · Dirt

The morning-line favorite isn't the top-rated horse according to TrackWiz analysis in this 300-yard Speed Index race — creating a value angle worth paying attention to.

win4Quick WilllyML 3/1

Quick Willly (No. 4, 3/1) leads the TrackWiz ratings in this field at 87.08 and brings a 26% career win rate, both of which stand above the competition. Trainer Chantelle Bourgeois and jockey Cassandra Jeschke are paired throughout tonight's card, and this looks like one of their stronger chances. The 3/1 morning line provides real value when you consider the horse rates out at the top of the field — the public is underestimating this one relative to the form.

place5Magic in WonderlandML 9/2

Magic in Wonderland (No. 5, 9/2) slots into second place in our analysis with a 63.55 rating and an 18% career win rate under trainer Richard W. Kennedy. Alexis Sanchez has the call, and at 9/2 on the morning line, there's genuine value in the place pool here. This horse profiles as a solid closer in a field of sprinters and could benefit if the top two battle each other hard off the gate.

show1Agent IceML 8/5

Agent Ice (No. 1, 8/5) is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 but grades third in our TrackWiz ratings at 58.55 with a 16% career win rate. Trainer Jason Pascoe and jockey Cristian Benitez are one of the card's most active combos tonight, and the horse's favoritism tells you the public sees ability here. Fading Agent Ice slightly to the show spot rather than the win spot reflects what the numbers show — talented, but not quite the top figure in the field tonight.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 7

6:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 110 yd · Dirt

Tonight's finale is a tight 110-yard allowance where the top-rated horse carries big morning-line value, and a strong card-wide trainer pattern adds confidence to the selections.

win1ShakenML 3/1

Shaken (No. 1, 3/1) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this allowance finale at 87.08 with an 18% career win rate. Trainer Chantelle Bourgeois has been one of the busier trainers on the card tonight, and jockey Cassandra Jeschke has shown consistent presence across multiple races — that kind of live book matters in short-field sprint racing. At 3/1 on the morning line for the top-rated horse, there's solid value here, and this is our Race 7 best bet to close out the night.

place4Fiesty FeebeeML 7/2

Fiesty Feebee (No. 4, 7/2) rates second in the field at 76.35 with a 23% career win rate under trainer Richard W. Kennedy and jockey Alexis Sanchez. That win percentage is one of the stronger figures among the place and show picks on tonight's full card, suggesting a horse that converts regularly when things break right. The 7/2 price makes this a value-friendly exacta partner with Shaken.

show6Queen CharlotteML 5/2

Queen Charlotte (No. 6, 5/2) brings a 37% career win rate — the highest of any horse in this field — and a 74.96 TrackWiz rating under trainer James Bogar and jockey Ismael Eluid Mosqueira. The morning-line price of 5/2 makes this one of the shorter-priced show selections on the card, which reflects public confidence in the horse's form. That elite win percentage is a real reason to include Queen Charlotte in trifecta tickets as a closer who knows how to finish.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

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Today's best bets start with Runawey Perry in Race 1 — our highest-rated horse on the card — and Relentless Betty and Louie B Gone rounding out the free-race card. For the full picture on Races 4–7, including pace projections and exotic plays, subscribers have everything they need waiting in the premium breakdown. Good luck out there, and as always — bet smart, bet within your means, and enjoy the action.

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