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Retama Park Picks & Predictions — August 13, 2026

August 13, 20268 racesAll Retama Park picks

Results are in — see the official Retama Park chart and payouts (our top pick won 3 of 8)→

It's a hot one at Retama Park today — 94°F under clear skies in San Antonio, and that baking Texas heat is going to be a factor all afternoon. Eight races on the dirt, all quarter horse distances ranging from a lightning-quick 250 yards out to a marathon 870 yards, so the pace scenarios shift dramatically from race to race. Stay sharp.

The card is a nice mix of conditions — you've got Allowances, Maiden events, and a Claiming race sprinkled in — meaning there's real class movement to dissect throughout the day. When fields feature horses dropping or rising in class, that's often where the best value hides, and TrackWiz analysis has flagged some compelling angles across this card.

Three races are open to everyone today, and our top-rated free pick is Raptor Stone in Race 3, who carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating into an Allowance at 250 yards. That's the kind of short-field sprint where pace breaks fast and the right horse can bury the field before anyone blinks.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 870 yd · Dirt

The morning line favorite gets outrated by a 4/1 shot in this 870-yard allowance — Bogie's top TrackWiz rating sets up a potential overlay situation worth watching at the windows.

win5BogieML 4/1

Bogie is the class of this field by our ratings, posting an 85.62 — a full 13 points clear of the next-best horse. He also owns a 20% career win rate, the best in the race, which is a meaningful edge in a six-horse field. Trainer J. Ryan Basham has two horses entered today, but Bogie is clearly the barn's top gun here. At 4/1 on the morning line while posting the field's highest rating, this looks like genuine value.

place4HezamonzterML 9/5

Hezamonzter draws the morning-line favoritism at 9/5 with a solid 72.5 rating, which puts him right in the mix for the exacta. His rating trails only Bogie's, and the connections — trainer Marc E. Jungers and rider Luis L. Vivanco — give him a professional foundation. The 9/5 price likely reflects name recognition more than a commanding edge, making him a reliable place anchor rather than a value win bet.

show1Bidi Bidi BombML 5/2

Bidi Bidi Bomb sits third in our ratings at 71.82 and carries 5/2 morning-line odds, suggesting the public respects this one. A 14% career win rate is solid for a six-horse allowance field and gives him a realistic shot to hit the board even if the top two run as expected. Victor Manuel Urieta, Jr. in the irons is a rider who knows this circuit, and he's worth using in the show position of any exotics you're building.

Race 2

12:15 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint at 330 yards where every horse is looking for their first career win — the top-rated runners are scattered across price points, creating real overlay potential.

win3Sheza Patriot 47ML 9/2

Sheza Patriot 47 tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 in a field full of first-time winners, which is exactly the kind of edge you want to lean on in maiden company. At 9/2 on the morning line, she's going off at a longer price than her rating warrants when you look at the gap between her and the field. Trainer Adan Guzman puts up H. Javier Hernandez — a capable combination at this level. When the top-rated horse is also an overlay in maidens, that's where the value lives.

place7Zenith ZtormiML 3/1

Zenith Ztormi posts an 81.82 rating — second-best in the field — and is listed at 3/1 morning line, which makes this horse a reasonable favorite in a lot of handicappers' eyes. The separation between Zenith Ztormi and the rest of the field below them is noticeable, which is why trainer Juan Johnny M. Hernandez likely targeted this spot. Use this one underneath Sheza Patriot 47 in the exacta.

show1JeezusML 4/1

Jeezus comes in at 4/1 with a 64.09 rating — third in the field and a solid gap above the rest of the pack. In maiden company, you don't need to be the class of the field; you just need to hit the board, and Jeezus has the profile to do exactly that. Trainer Arnold Lewis saddles this runner and Aniceto Gomez takes the mount — the kind of stable pairing that doesn't make noise but quietly shows up.

Race 3

12:42 AM EDT

Allowance · 250 yd · Dirt

Ten horses line up in this 250-yard allowance dash — a field this size at the shortest sprint distance creates chaos off the gate, and the top two in our ratings are separated by a healthy margin from the rest.

win8Raptor StoneML 3/1

Raptor Stone sits at the top of our ratings at 87.08 and goes postward at 3/1 — a fair price for the field's standout. Trainer Wendy Alejandra Garcia has this one pointed for today, and Victor Manuel Urieta, Jr. picks up the mount, a jockey who's comfortable in these short Retama sprints. The 16% career win rate is slightly below average, but in a 10-horse 250-yard dash, pace and gate break matter most — and our analysis suggests Raptor Stone is primed for a top effort.

place4Red Hot RachaML 9/2

Red Hot Racha rates out at 79.90 — second-best in the field — and sits at a reasonable 9/2 morning line. Trainer Adan Guzman and jockey H. Javier Hernandez are a pairing that's shown up repeatedly on this card, which is worth noting as a sign of stable confidence. She carries a 25% career win rate, which is respectable, and in a double-digit field she's the kind of horse you want on your ticket in the exacta.

show9Whatta HocksML 8/1

Whatta Hocks at 8/1 is the value play in this race, carrying a 67.53 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win mark. Victor Manuel Urieta, Jr. in the saddle connects this runner to one of the better jockeys working the card today. At those odds, if Raptor Stone and Red Hot Racha run into trouble in a crowded ten-horse sprint, Whatta Hocks has the profile to close into the money.

The three free races today span a wide range of distances and conditions, which actually makes them a nice cross-section of the card. Bogie opens things up in Race 1 at 870 yards — the longest distance on the card — where stamina and late kick matter more than a lightning break. Over in Race 2, Sheza Patriot 47 faces Maiden Claimers at 330 yards, a spot where our ratings model sees a clear edge at 9/2 morning line odds. If that price holds into post time, that's a legitimate value play worth noting.

Raptor Stone in Race 3 is the headliner of the free group, rated highest of the three at 87.08 and facing Allowance company at just 250 yards. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's not a ton of overlay to dream about, but a horse rated this cleanly in a short-field sprint is worth building your early pick sequences around. On a fast, dry Retama strip in this heat, expect the track to play quick all day — horses with clean early speed have been rewarded here.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:09 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

Holy Monday dominates this maiden claiming field on ratings but faces a legitimate public challenger in Jmg Dash Monday — the question is whether either can back up their numbers in their career debut.

win2Holy MondayML 5/2

Holy Monday is the top-rated horse in this field at 87.81 and exits the barn of Adan Guzman, who also saddled Red Hot Racha earlier on the card — a trainer clearly firing on all cylinders today. Noe Villatoro gets the call, a rider who knows how to break from the gate at this distance. The 5/2 morning line underestimates the gap between Holy Monday and most of this field, and at that price there's still a touch of value in an unraced maiden field.

place8Jmg Dash MondayML 2/1

Jmg Dash Monday comes in as the morning-line favorite at 2/1 with a 70.75 rating — well below Holy Monday's mark but far enough ahead of the rest of the field to carve out a place position. Rigoberto Camarillo Ortega pilots this one for trainer Raul Rodriguez, Jr., a solid handler at this level. When the favorite is rated lower than the second pick, exacta construction is straightforward: reverse it and move on.

show6Nl Chilitas CartelML 9/2

Nl Chilitas Cartel rates out at 59.74 — third-best in the race — with morning-line odds of 9/2, which gives you decent show value in a thin maiden field. Trainer Francisco Campos, Jr. sends this one out with Claudio Ponce Aguilar in the irons, a combination that's been competitive at Retama. In a field where most horses are unproven, a third-place rating with some professional handling is worth protecting in trifecta tickets.

Race 5

1:36 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

The Landman matches Holy Monday's top rating from the prior race but goes postward at 5/2 — in a ten-horse maiden field, pace management off the gate in 330 yards is everything.

win10The LandmanML 5/2

The Landman checks in at an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field by a comfortable margin — and is priced at 5/2 morning line. Trainer Brian Stroud sends this runner out with Jose R. Herbert in the saddle, a capable combination at this level. In maiden claiming company over 330 yards, the horse with the highest analytical rating and a competent jockey-trainer pairing should be your foundation — and The Landman is exactly that.

place6Catching Your DreamsML 6/1

Catching Your Dreams is a legitimate second-choice at 6/1 — that's a morning-line price that understates a 74.25 rating, creating some overlay value for place bettors. Trainer John A. Stinebaugh puts Gilberto Linares aboard, and this combination appears multiple times on today's card, suggesting the barn has runners ready to perform. At those odds, this is a horse worth including in exactas beneath The Landman.

show4Moneyy On My MindML 8/1

Moneyy On My Mind rates out at 65.95 and goes at 8/1 — a price that looks generous for a horse sitting third in our ratings in a maiden field where the bottom half isn't threatening. Trainer Jose Ivan Martinez enters two horses today (also Jess a Flying Cowboy), which can mean either stable confidence or hedging — but the rating here is the guide. In deep maiden fields, the third-best horse on paper regularly hits the board.

Race 6

2:03 AM EDT

Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

Beau Diddly owns a massive ratings edge over this claiming field at 400 yards, but the morning-line favorite is listed at 5/2 — if there's pace pressure early, it becomes a simple question of whether the best horse can get clear.

win5Beau DiddlyML 3/1

Beau Diddly is the class of this field on every metric — an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and a 20% career win rate lead the field, and trainer Brooks Lane Lewis puts Luis L. Vivanco in the irons. Vivanco is one of the more active and effective riders on this card, appearing throughout the program. At 3/1, there's mild overlay value here given the ratings gap, and this looks like the race's most straightforward win play.

place6Jody JonesML 9/2

Jody Jones rates at 55.96 and posts a 13% career win rate — both middle-of-the-pack numbers that nonetheless stand out in a field where most horses are clustered below 55. Trainer Brian Stroud sends Jose R. Herbert for the ride, and Stroud has multiple horses today showing he's active and engaged. At 9/2, Jody Jones is a fair-priced place horse that should benefit if Beau Diddly draws away from the field and leaves the rest scrambling.

show4HellofaneagleML 5/2

Hellofaneagle is the morning-line third choice at 5/2 with a 54.05 rating and a 10% career win rate. That rating is close to Jody Jones's and represents the third-best mark in this claiming field. Trainer Martin Rodriguez and jockey Alejandro Medina are a pairing worth watching, and in a nine-horse claiming sprint the third-rated horse at a competitive price is exactly the kind of horse you sprinkle into your trifecta.

Race 7

2:30 AM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden field over 400 yards where Momentym holds the top analytical rating but sits at 9/2 — with Decisive Eagle drawing strong public support at 5/2, there's a real favorite vs. value battle shaping up.

win3MomentymML 9/2

Momentym tops this field with an 84.90 rating and stretches to the 400-yard distance where pace endurance starts to matter. Trainer Richard D. Sedillo puts Nestor Duran on board — a quiet combination that doesn't draw headlines but puts runners in competitive positions. The 9/2 morning line is generous given the ratings edge, and in maiden company that kind of gap often translates directly to results.

place4Decisive EagleML 5/2

Decisive Eagle is the morning-line second choice at 5/2 with a 78.55 rating — second-best in the field and within striking distance of the top selection. Trainer Jose Ivan Martinez, who has multiple entries today, clearly likes this runner's chances in this field. The public price is slightly cramped relative to value, but this is a legitimate contender and a must-include in exacta tickets underneath Momentym.

show2Dm Cartel EagleML 7/2

Dm Cartel Eagle at 7/2 posts a 73.12 rating — third-best in this ten-horse maiden field and only about five points behind the place pick. Trainer Kie Mushinski and Luis L. Vivanco are a combination that's been consistent on this circuit. In a maiden race where anything can happen out of the gate, a third-place rated horse at a competitive price is exactly the kind of show anchor you want backing up your exacta.

Race 8

2:57 AM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

Ct Queen leads this ten-horse allowance on ratings and carries a jockey-trainer combo that's on the same page — the intrigue is a legitimate value play lurking at 12/1 in the third spot of our analysis.

win5Ct QueenML 4/1

Ct Queen rates at 85.62 — the highest mark in this field — and goes at 4/1, which represents mild overlay value given her analytical edge. Trainer Brittany N. Tellez puts Froylan Tellez Ramirez up, a closely connected pairing that often signals confidence from the barn. A 20% career win rate in allowance company is a respectable foundation, and at 4/1 this is our top play on the card's final race.

place9Chick N HawkML 9/2

Chick N Hawk comes in at 9/2 with a 76.62 rating and a 25% career win rate — the latter being a meaningful number in an allowance field. Trainer Jose Luis Sanchez III and jockey Arturo Alvarez team up here, and the win percentage tells you this horse has been competitive against similar company before. At 9/2, there's genuine value in backing this one to run second behind Ct Queen.

show6Limites Sin BML 12/1

Limites Sin B is listed at 12/1 morning line with a 73.96 rating and a 25% career win rate — a horse whose analytical profile is quietly strong relative to the morning-line price. Trainer Adan Guzman, who has had a full day of runners and appears comfortable at Retama, sends Noe Villatoro aboard. At those odds, this is the kind of horse that makes your trifecta pay — rated third in the field but going off at a price that suggests the public hasn't found her yet.

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Bottom line: Retama Park is giving us a tight, fast eight-race card on a scorching Thursday afternoon. Raptor Stone is the headliner among the free picks, Bogie and Sheza Patriot 47 offer angles worth exploring, and the premium half of the card features some genuinely intriguing matchups — including two races with top-rated horses sharing identical morning lines. Racing is unpredictable, but the preparation doesn't have to be. Grab the full card breakdown at TrackWiz Premium and head to the window ready.

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