Daily Picks

Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026

Saturday, June 13, 20269 racesPrairie Meadows

It's a rainy Saturday at Prairie Meadows and the dirt is going to play a factor all day long. With temps sitting around 75°F and steady rain in the forecast, expect a sealed or sloppy surface by first post — and that changes everything from pace scenarios to trip dynamics. Nine races are on the board, mixing quick-burst Quarter Horse sprints early and stretching out to routes later in the card.

The card has real range today: we open with a trio of 350-yard maiden and optional claiming sprints before shifting gears to six-furlong and one-mile routes where the big money lives. Two stakes races — Races 6 and 8 — give the afternoon a genuine stakes-day feel, and TrackWiz analysis has strong opinions on both. This is not a card to approach casually.

Best Bets

Race 1

10:00 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A 350-yard maiden sprint where two horses separate from the field on raw ratings — expect a two-horse battle at the top with the rest scrambling for the minor awards.

win3Whose Da BossML 5/2

Whose Da Boss (3) tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.24 and draws the morning line favorite's brother-in-arms at 5/2 — not the chalk, but close. In a maiden sprint at 350 yards, it's all about raw ability out of the gate, and the ratings gap between this one and the rest of the field is significant. Kody Kellenberger gets the call for trainer Robert Don Johnson, and the connections clearly have confidence given the competitive odds in a wide-open maiden field.

place7Eye WinsomML 4/1

Eye Winsom (7) is the second-highest rated horse in the field at 85.62, separated from the top pick by just 1.62 points — in a 350-yard sprint, that margin is razor thin. Trainer Tammy Kay Johnson sends this one out at 4/1 morning line, which represents genuine value if Whose Da Boss gets first money. In these short-format sprints, anything can happen in a blink, and Eye Winsom has the profile to hit the board.

show6Favorite Sweet HoneyML 3/1

Favorite Sweet Honey (6) checks in at a TrackWiz rating of 62.02 — a clear step below the top two but well clear of the rest of the field at 3/1 on the morning line. Trainer Jason L. Olmstead also has Dakota Cartel in the race, so the barn has two bites at the apple, and Ryder Olmstead rides here. In short-field 350-yard dashes, the third-best horse often finds the board, and this one projects comfortably into that role.

Race 2

10:25 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

Two horses dominate this optional claiming sprint on paper, but a massive ratings gap between the top pair and the rest sets up a potential pace duel that could determine the outcome.

win5Kiss Me I Am FamousML 7/5

Kiss Me I Am Famous (5) carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.42 and is one of only two horses that stands out from the pack — landing at 7/5 on the morning line, the market agrees. The 16% career win rate is respectable for a horse at this level, and Angel O. Ramirez is a capable pilot to get the most out of this one in a 350-yard dash. In an optional claiming spot, class matters, and this horse grades out well ahead of the competition.

place1RebelutionaryML 8/5

Rebelutionary (1) is the second choice at 8/5 with a career win rate of 22% — actually the highest win percentage in the field — and a TrackWiz rating of 69.91. The gap between this horse and Kiss Me I Am Famous is notable (nearly 20 rating points), but in a 350-yard race where fractions are measured in tenths of a second, the place slot is very much in play. Alfredo Triana, Jr. in the irons adds confidence for a horse that has demonstrated the ability to win at this level.

show2RadianzML 8/1

Radianz (2) is an interesting piece at 8/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 48.95 and a 15% career win rate. Trainer Tyler Stein and jockey Cristian R. Esqueda team up on a horse that is outgunned on ratings but has shown enough consistency to pop into exotics. At 8/1 in a six-horse field, the show price could offer enough overlay to justify inclusion in your trifecta coverage.

Race 3

10:50 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

Another 350-yard maiden dash, but this one features a standout at the top of the ratings with a tightly bunched middle tier that makes the exacta and trifecta worth building around.

win7DulcifiedML 5/2

Dulcified (7) leads all comers with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating in this maiden sprint, going off at 5/2 on the morning line with Angel O. Ramirez aboard for trainer Edward Ross Hardy. This is a maiden field, so no career win percentage to lean on, but the ratings advantage over the next closest horse is over 12 points — that's a meaningful separation in a short race decided by raw talent. Hardy and Ramirez have a live runner here, and the market is pricing this one accordingly.

place2Tyme to FlyML 7/2

Tyme to Fly (2) rates second in the field at 75.72 and goes off at 7/2 — a fair price for a horse sitting squarely in the heart of the pace scenario at 350 yards. Jason L. Olmstead trains this one while also having Eves Painting (3) in the same race, giving the barn barn multiple chances. The rating cushion Tyme to Fly has over the field's middle tier makes the place slot a comfortable projection.

show4Flying Dream GirlML 3/1

Flying Dream Girl (4) at 3/1 morning line carries a 56.67 TrackWiz rating — third best in the field — and Cristian R. Esqueda takes the mount for trainer Tyler Stein. The horse is appropriately priced as the third option, and in an eight-horse maiden field, show coverage on this one adds useful depth to your trifectas. The Stein-Esqueda combo is worth noting as a live pairing.

Our three free races cover the early Quarter Horse action, and there's a clear thread running through them: raw speed paired with the ability to handle a tricky surface. Whose Da Boss (Race 1, 5/2 morning line) and Dulcified (Race 3, 5/2) are both maiden runners we like at fair prices, while Kiss Me I Am Famous (Race 2, 7/5) is the shortest-priced of the trio but carries an 89.42 TrackWiz rating that justifies the chalk. On a wet track, gate speed and clean breaks matter more than ever at 350 yards — there's almost no time to recover from a bobble. These three free picks are a solid foundation for your early card tickets.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

11:16 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A six-furlong starter optional claiming bout headlined by a class standout with a jaw-dropping career win percentage — the question is whether anyone can keep pace with the top selection.

win4Lady RileyML 2/1

Lady Riley (4) is the horse to beat, and it isn't particularly close on paper — an 88.54 TrackWiz rating paired with an eye-catching 41% career win rate puts this mare in a different tier from her competition. Walter De La Cruz gets the mount for trainer Kelli Martinez, and notably Martinez also saddles My Maybelenne and What About Q in this race — so the trainer clearly has confidence in her whole string, but Lady Riley is the one they're pointing to with the 2/1 morning line. The average speed figure of 55 matches the best in the field, and at six furlongs, that combination of rate and consistency is hard to oppose.

place1My MaybelenneML 5/2

My Maybelenne (1) brings a 22% career win rate and a 56.47 TrackWiz rating to the gate, going off at 5/2 as the second choice on the morning line. Trained by the same Kelli Martinez barn as the top pick, there's a chance this one benefits from any pace pressure if Lady Riley is pressed early. The average speed figure of 54 is in the mix, and Elvin Gonzalez handles the riding duties on what shapes up as a solid each-way play.

show2My JuliaML 12/1

My Julia (2) is the value angle in the show slot at 12/1 morning line — the 31% career win rate is actually the second-best in the field, which stands out for a horse at such generous odds. Trainer Salvador Arceo sends her out with Alberto Pusac up, and the average speed figure of 55 ties for best in the race. Don't let the big number fool you — the underlying numbers suggest she's more competitive than her price implies.

Race 5

11:42 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile maiden special weight where the morning line favorite isn't the top-rated horse — creating a potential value opportunity at the top of the order.

win2Highlight ShowML 7/2

Highlight Show (2) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 despite going off at 7/2 on the morning line — a notable disconnect from the 6/5 chalk. Trainer Logan Ashford sends this one out with Alfredo Triana, Jr. in the saddle, a jockey with strong recognition at this level. The average speed figure of 54 is among the field's best, and in a maiden special weight at a mile, pace management and raw talent both matter — Highlight Show projects well on both fronts.

place1Avery CountyML 5/1

Avery County (1) rates second at 81.32 with a 5/1 morning line, making this one a genuine value play for the place. Kevin Eikleberry trains and Elvin Gonzalez rides — a live pairing that should keep this one competitive in the stretch. The average speed figure of 52 is slightly below the top tier, but at 5/1 in the place pool, the return-on-investment argument is compelling.

show6Rumpus in ParadiseML 6/1

Rumpus in Paradise (6) rounds out the TrackWiz top three at 78.15 — the third-highest rated horse — and goes off at 6/1, representing solid show value in a maiden field that lacks a dominant favorite. Luis A. Fuentes rides for trainer Ruben Fuentes, a family connection that often signals a horse being pointed to a specific spot. An average speed figure of 52 keeps this one in the conversation, and the trifecta price could be juicy if the top two finish ahead.

Race 6

12:08 AM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Dirt

Stakes company at a mile, and the morning line favorite carries a 37% career win rate — but our ratings tell a different story, pointing to a live overlay at a price that should attract attention.

win4Independence RiseML 5/2

Independence Rise (4) is our top selection in this stakes race, backed by the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 87.81 and a remarkable 75% career win rate — by far the best winning percentage in the field. Orlando Mojica, one of the meet's stronger riders, gets the mount for trainer Robertino Diodoro, whose operation consistently produces sharp efforts in spots like this. The average speed figure of 55 ties for best in the race, and at 5/2 on the morning line, this is a horse whose numbers demand respect.

place6How About BobML 4/1

How About Bob (6) offers genuine value at 4/1 morning line with a 33% career win rate and a 70.78 TrackWiz rating — the second-highest in the field. Ronnie Huckaby rides for trainer Patrick E. Swan, and the average speed figure of 55 ties for top honors in the race. If Independence Rise handles the favorite's pressure, How About Bob looks like a comfortable runner-up at a price worth backing in exactas.

show2J J GreyML 6/5

J J Grey (2) is the 6/5 morning line favorite with a 37% career win rate, but our ratings peg this one third in the field — making the chalk a possible overlay on the downside and a show play on the upside. Trainer Kenneth G. McPeek is a recognized name at this level, and Glenn W. Corbett in the irons adds reliability. In a six-horse stakes field, the show slot is relatively safe territory for a horse with this kind of win percentage, even if we have it a step below the top two.

Race 7

12:34 AM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A one-mile-and-seventy-yard allowance bout featuring two horses that tower over the rest of the field on ratings — the pace scenario between them could shape the entire race.

win3Cactus LeagueML 7/5

Cactus League (3) leads all horses in this race with an 89.28 TrackWiz rating and the highest average speed figure in the field at 56 — that combination is hard to overlook in an allowance at this distance. Kevin Eikleberry trains and Orlando Mojica rides, one of the card's strongest jockey-trainer partnerships on the day. The 20% career win rate is solid, and at 7/5 on the morning line, the market is clearly on board — this one profiles as a go-to horse for the win.

place1Purse ThiefML 8/5

Purse Thief (1) is intriguing — a TrackWiz rating of 85.66 and an average speed figure of 55 suggest a highly capable horse, yet the 8/5 morning line is fair given the competition. The 5% career win rate is the one soft spot, but in an allowance at a stretch-out distance, raw talent and speed figures can matter more than historical win rates. Elvin Gonzalez takes the mount for trainer Tanner Tracy, and if Cactus League draws the early pressure, Purse Thief could be sitting in a perfect stalking spot.

show6Crooked as Can BeML 8/1

Crooked as Can Be (6) at 8/1 morning line is a sneaky inclusion — a 79.79 TrackWiz rating puts this horse third-best in the field, yet the odds suggest the market is undervaluing the talent level here. Ken S. Tohill rides for trainer David D. McShane, and a 20% career win rate with an average speed figure of 54 makes this one a live outsider. In trifecta construction, getting the third-rated horse at 8/1 in the show slot is exactly the kind of overlay that makes exotic wagering worthwhile.

Race 8

1:00 AM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

The second stakes race of the card at 1 1/16 miles features a wide-open contest where most of the field clusters on ratings — except for one clear standout and a longshot show play with serious win credentials.

win6CornishmanML 3/1

Cornishman (6) is the class of this field by our metrics, posting an 87.08 TrackWiz rating in a race where the next-best horse checks in over 16 points lower. Elvin Gonzalez rides for trainer Dan L. McFarlane, and the 25% career win rate is respectable in stakes company. The average speed figure of 54 matches the field's best, and at 3/1 on the morning line, this one is priced like a fair favorite without being an underlaid chalk — solid win play.

place8WoodcourtML 5/2

Woodcourt (8) profiles as the logical place horse — a 70.86 TrackWiz rating, 26% career win rate, and an average speed figure of 54 put this one clearly ahead of the mid-pack horses. Walter De La Cruz gets the ride for trainer Cipriano Contreras, who also sends out Seize the Night, showing the barn has multiple interests. At 5/2 on the morning line, Woodcourt is fairly priced as the second option and makes strong sense in exacta combinations beneath Cornishman.

show5Tee Off TimeML 15/1

Tee Off Time (5) is the TrackWiz longshot call here at 15/1 morning line — and the underlying credentials are surprisingly strong. A 50% career win rate is the best in the entire field, and the average speed figure of 54 ties for the best group. Glenn W. Corbett aboard for trainer Kelly R. Von Hemel is a pairing worth watching, and a 63.74 TrackWiz rating isn't out of the picture in a stakes race where the field compresses after the top two. At 15/1, the show overlay alone is worth a look.

Race 9

1:26 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Closing the card with a six-furlong maiden special weight where two horses clear the field on ratings — but the morning line odds don't line up the way you'd expect, creating a potential value angle.

win6Prince and PennyML 2/1

Prince and Penny (6) tops the field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating and the highest average speed figure in the race at 56 — a compelling combination for a maiden going six furlongs. Trainer Tanner Tracy sends this one out with Elvin Gonzalez in the irons, the same rider who has been prominent throughout the card. At 2/1 morning line, the odds are fair for the top-rated horse, and the speed figure edge at a sprint distance is the clearest differentiator in a field of maidens.

place4IknowaguyML 5/2

Iknowaguy (4) rates second in the field at 80.05 and goes off at 5/2 — nearly as short as the top selection, which speaks to the market's confidence in this one. Ken S. Tohill rides for trainer Brandi Jo Fett, who also has King George in the race, giving the barn two chances. The average speed figure of 55 is one tick below the top pick but ahead of most of the field, making the place slot a comfortable target.

show3PaddyofromtokyoML 6/1

Paddyofromtokyo (3) lands third on our TrackWiz ratings at 69.49 with an average speed figure of 55, going off at 6/1 on the morning line — a solid price for the third-best horse in the race. Glenn W. Corbett gets the call for trainer Kelly R. Von Hemel, who also has a runner in Race 8 on the card and clearly knows how to have horses ready. In a maiden field where the top two dominate, the third slot in the trifecta often falls to the next-most-capable animal, and Paddyofromtokyo fits that profile at a price.

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Bottom line: nine races, a rain-affected track, two stakes, and a handful of plays we feel genuinely good about. Start with the free picks on the Quarter Horse sprints and let them fund your deeper dives into the premium races. Full card analysis, pace projections, and exotic ticket builds are waiting for subscribers — check out TrackWiz Premium and make the most of your Saturday at Prairie Meadows. Good luck out there.

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