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Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — August 15, 2026

August 15, 202612 racesAll Parx Racing picks

It's a beautiful Saturday at Parx Racing — clear skies, 84°F, and a fast dirt track that should reward horses with early speed all afternoon. Twelve races are on the card, and TrackWiz has you covered from the first maiden claimer to the final furlong of the nightcap.

The card is heavily weighted toward dirt sprints, with ten of the twelve races going six furlongs or six and a half. That kind of consistency in distance and surface makes pace scenarios very predictable today — and when pace is predictable, our ratings shine. Expect front-runners to be on everyone's radar.

Two Allowance Optional Claiming routes at a mile and 70 yards close out the card in Races 10 and 11, giving multi-race bettors a chance to get creative late. Those are the kind of full-card connectors that can make a Pick 4 or Pick 5 ticket sing.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:40 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A sprawling 15-horse maiden claiming opener with zero career wins in the field — this one comes down to who has the best underlying numbers in a wide-open sprint.

win13RagatonyML 4/1

Ragatony tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.38 and draws in at a juicy 4/1 morning line — that's a rare combination of value and edge in a field this deep. Trainer Juan Carlos Guerrero sends him out with Ruben Silvera aboard, a pairing worth watching in maiden company. With an average speed figure of 53 matching several rivals, it's the overall rating separation that gives Ragatony the edge here. In a race where no one has broken their maiden yet, the horse with the highest composite score is exactly where you want to be.

place6World Wide WebML 8/1

World Wide Web (6) sits second in TrackWiz ratings at 79.79 and offers real value at 8/1 on the morning line — that's a significant overlay if the numbers hold up. Trainer Philip T. Aristone puts Eliseo Ruiz in the irons, and the horse matches the field's top average speed figure of 53. At those odds, he's a strong place play in exotics and a natural pairing with the top pick in exacta boxes.

show1Gus' TenML 5/1

Gus' Ten (1) grades out at 74.81 on the TrackWiz scale and gets the rail post with Luis M. Ocasio up — inside posts in sprint maiden claimers at Parx can be a real asset when pace control is in play. The 5/1 morning line is fair for his rating tier. He rounds out a logical win-place-show sequence and is worth including in trifecta tickets as a saver.

Race 2

5:07 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The claiming ranks sort out quickly here — South Boundary brings a class edge and the field's top rating, but California Smoke and The Great Maybe make this more than a one-horse show.

win12South BoundaryML 3/1

South Boundary (12) leads the field with a TrackWiz rating of 86.27 and carries a 14% career win rate — respectable for a claimer at this level. Trainer Michael V. Pino teams with Mychel J. Sanchez, one of the track's more reliable jockey-trainer duos at Parx. The 3/1 morning line makes her a reasonable favorite, and her average speed figure of 53 keeps her competitive on paper. This looks like a horse getting a race set up for her.

place13California SmokeML 8/1

California Smoke (13) checks in at 79.79 on our ratings and has shown she can run with a 12% career win rate across her starts. Jorge A. Vargas Jr. takes the mount for trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado, and she leads all horses in average speed at 54 — that's a small but meaningful edge in a sprint. At 8/1, she's a legit value play to hit the board.

show11The Great MaybeML 6/1

The Great Maybe (11) rates third in the field at 77.03 and connects with Angel Cruz for trainer Carlos A. Mancilla. She's going to have backers at 6/1, and her 6% career win rate in a field full of low-percentage horses isn't a red flag — it's context. Include her in trifectas as a horse who profiles to run a solid third.

Race 3

5:34 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Another maiden claiming sprint on the dirt, but Tiza Smokeshow separates herself from the pack with a dominant rating edge — the question is whether the pace scenario allows her to dictate.

win4Tiza SmokeshowML 4/1

Tiza Smokeshow (4) posts a TrackWiz rating of 85.62 — more than 13 points clear of the next-best horse — and goes at a fair 4/1 morning line. Trainer Scott A. Lake sends her out with Yan Rodriguez, and her average speed figure of 53 is right in the field's sweet spot. In maiden claimers, that kind of rating gap is often decisive, and she looks like the clear top choice here.

place9Catch Me a CatchML 9/2

Catch Me a Catch (9) rates second in the field at 72.35 and also averages 53 in speed, matching the top horses stride for stride on raw numbers. Trainer Edward T. Allard hands the reins to Angel R. Rodriguez for a 9/2 morning line shot that projects to handle the distance just fine. She's the most logical place option and a natural exacta partner with the top pick.

show8Yo PhillyML 7/2

Yo Philly (8) comes in at 71.60 on the TrackWiz scale and gets a favorable 7/2 morning line with Ruben Silvera up for the barn of Jamie Ness. The Ness-Parx connection is always worth noting — he knows this track inside and out. Yo Philly fits perfectly as a third wheel in trifecta tickets behind the top two rated horses.

Our three free races today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — are all maiden claiming or straight claiming sprints on the dirt, and they give us a solid early read on how the track is playing. Ragatony (Race 1, 4/1 ML) kicks things off at six and a half furlongs with an 82.38 TrackWiz rating, a solid number for a maiden claimer at this level. In Race 2, South Boundary posts the second-highest free-race rating at 86.27 and goes as the 3/1 morning line favorite — a horse we like at the price. Then Tiza Smokeshow closes out the free tier in Race 3 with an 85.62 rating at 4/1, offering a touch of value against what figures to be a competitive field.

With all three free picks running on the same surface and at similar sprint distances, the early races should give you a live read on whether speed is holding or if closers are getting late looks. That pace read will be valuable context heading into the premium portion of the card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:09 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This claiming sprint features a pair of legitimate contenders rated above 80 chasing each other down, with the rest of the field playing catch-up — expect a relatively honest pace and a fight to the wire between the top two.

win2Lost LoveML 9/2

Lost Love (2) leads the field with a TrackWiz rating of 84.90 and owns a 16% career win rate — solid production for a claimer. Trainer Timothy J. Shaw puts Abner Adorno on board, and the 9/2 morning line feels like a touch of value given her top rating. Her average speed figure of 52 is on par with most of the field, so the edge comes from overall consistency and class. This is a horse who should be right in the thick of things late.

place9Clearly CopperML 5/1

Clearly Copper (9) isn't far behind at 81.02 on our ratings and brings a 15% career win rate to the table for the Michael V. Pino barn. Frankie Pennington gets the call, and the pairing has the tools to run a forward race from off the pace or stalking position. At 5/1, she's a strong place candidate and could easily flip the order if Lost Love doesn't fire.

show10Angel of HopeML 4/1

Angel of Hope (10) rates third at 66.28 but leads all three top picks with an average speed figure of 54 — a small edge that could matter in a sprint of this distance. Trainer Timothy J. Smylie puts Dexter Haddock up at a 4/1 morning line that might make her the public's choice. She's best used as a show saver in trifectas given that speed figure edge and her 13% career win rate.

Race 5

6:44 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Angie's Reward dominates the field on every key metric, but with 12 horses going six furlongs, the pace could get hot early — the real drama is whether anyone can track her down.

win1Angie's RewardML 3/1

Angie's Reward (1) is the standout of the card in this race, posting a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — the highest in the field — and an eye-popping 40% career win rate. Trainer J. Tyler Servis hands the mount to Frankie Pennington, and she averages a top-tier 54 in speed figures. The 3/1 morning line actually feels fair given the competition here; this is a best bet situation if ever there was one in claiming company.

place2Medium CoolML 4/1

Medium Cool (2) rates second at 79.31 and shows a 22% career win rate, making her one of the more consistent horses in the field. Jorge A. Vargas Jr. takes over for Ernesto Padilla-Preciado's barn, and she ties for the field's top average speed at 54. At 4/1, she's a very playable place ticket and the natural main rival if the favorite encounters any traffic.

show5Probable AngleML 7/2

Probable Angle (5) brings a 33% career win rate — highest in the field — and a TrackWiz rating of 71.75 that keeps her in the conversation. Reylu Gutierrez rides for trainer Esteban Padilla, and her average speed of 54 matches the top contenders. At 7/2 on the morning line, she could actually be underpriced as a show option, and the win rate suggests she knows how to find the finish line.

Race 6

7:19 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Chubasco Sauce and Copernium set up as a potential pace duel between two horses with the field's top ratings, though Copernium's elite win rate adds an interesting wrinkle to the pace scenario.

win3Chubasco SauceML 5/1

Chubasco Sauce (3) leads TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 and gets Frankie Pennington up for trainer Harold Wyner at a 5/1 morning line. With a 16% career win rate and an average speed figure of 53, he profiles as a versatile horse who can handle different trip scenarios. Our analysis has him on top, and the value relative to his rating supports making him the win selection.

place5CoperniumML 3/1

Copernium (5) is fascinating — a 50% career win rate is remarkable for a horse in claiming company, and Mychel J. Sanchez is one of the sharper sticks at Parx. He rates 78.17 with a field-best average speed of 55, meaning he's got raw pace ability to burn. At 3/1, the win is tempting, but if Chubasco forces him into a speed battle, a place finish may be the floor.

show2Bootleg RunnerML 9/2

Bootleg Runner (2) rates third at 70.64 and checks in with an impressive 30% career win rate — second only to Copernium in this field. Kendry Rivera gets the call for trainer Ruperto A. Perez at 9/2, and his average speed of 54 keeps him right in the mix. He's the kind of closer who benefits if the top two speed horses burn each other out, making him a smart show play and trifecta inclusion.

Race 7

7:54 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Imperial Spy enters with a clear rating edge in a competitive claiming sprint, but the double-digit field includes several closers who could make the final furlong very interesting.

win3Imperial SpyML 9/2

Imperial Spy (3) tops TrackWiz ratings at 84.90 and lines up at a very fair 9/2 morning line with Eliseo Ruiz aboard for trainer Ruperto A. Perez. The 5% career win rate might catch your eye, but in claiming sprints, the raw rating and speed figure profile matter more than historical win percentage for horses that may be lightly raced or recently claimed. He's the class of this field on our numbers.

place2We Miss NeilML 6/1

We Miss Neil (2) rates second at 78.30 with Luis M. Ocasio up for trainer Jose G. Gonzalez-Milian at 6/1 — that's a nice overlay for a horse this close to the top of the ratings. The 3% career win rate is the one knock, but his average speed of 53 is right in the competitive zone. He profiles as a horse that runs well without always winning, making place a natural landing spot.

show9They Call Me SueML 6/1

They Call Me Sue (9) offers 77.41 on the TrackWiz scale and a 10% career win rate with Noel Herman in the irons for Tony Wilson's barn at 6/1. She ties with several horses on average speed at 53 but edges out most of the field on overall rating. In a race with solid top-two contenders, she's a reliable third-wheel option in trifectas and a logical show bet at morning line odds.

Race 8

8:29 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Liberte de Bayeux is the class of a full 14-horse field and looks tough to beat, but Hey Buddy brings legitimate win credentials and Macaw's high win rate keeps the exotics interesting.

win2Liberte de BayeuxML 3/1

Liberte de Bayeux (2) shares the day's highest TrackWiz rating at 87.08 and brings a 31% career win rate — a horse who genuinely knows how to win. Trainer Michael V. Pino puts Mychel J. Sanchez aboard, one of the best jockey-trainer combos working Parx regularly. At 3/1, the morning line makes her the probable favorite, and her field-best average speed of 55 adds another layer of separation. This is a confident top selection.

place13Hey BuddyML 9/2

Hey Buddy (13) rates a solid 76.92 and owns a 26% career win rate — a genuinely dangerous horse in this spot. Jorge A. Vargas Jr. takes the mount for Ernesto Padilla-Preciado at 9/2, and his 54 average speed ties him with the top contenders. If Liberte de Bayeux gets any traffic or doesn't fire at her best, Hey Buddy is right there to capitalize.

show1MacawML 6/1

Macaw (1) brings the field's highest career win rate at 40% and a TrackWiz rating of 69.62 — he's a seasoned horse who competes honestly. Francisco Martinez rides for Marya K. Montoya at 6/1, and his average speed of 54 keeps him in contention on raw figures. He's a great show anchor in trifectas, especially in a 14-horse field where chaos can push multiple longshots into the money.

Race 9

8:56 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A full 15-horse claiming field going 6½ furlongs — Musical Maestro and Lex head a deep cast, but the real story might be the longshot value lurking in the back half of the program.

win10Musical MaestroML 4/1

Musical Maestro (10) posts a TrackWiz rating of 85.62 — tops in the field — and gets Jorge A. Vargas Jr. up for the Ernesto Padilla-Preciado barn at 4/1. His 12% career win rate is modest, but the rating gap over most of the field is meaningful in a race this competitive. With an average speed of 54, he's got the raw tools to run a forward race and holds off a big field.

place3LexML 6/1

Lex (3) rates second at 82.17 and flashes a strong 23% career win rate, giving him some of the best combined credentials in the field. Melvis Gonzalez rides for Juan Carlos Guerrero's barn at 6/1, and his 54 average speed ties him with the top horses. If the pace falls his way, he's more than capable of reversing the order on the win pick.

show6CompaML 15/1

Compa (6) is the real intrigue in this race — a 15/1 morning line on a horse with a 23% career win rate and a 65.83 TrackWiz rating is a genuine overlay. Patrick Henry Jr. takes the call for Martin Thompson, and Compa's average speed of 54 matches the top horses stride for stride. In a 15-horse field at those odds, he's a prime show play and could sneak into your trifecta tickets at a big price.

Race 10

9:23 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The route distance sorts out a field with varying profiles — Mad for Maddy has the highest rating but the closing stretch of 1 mile 70 yards at Parx favors horses with stamina and tactical flexibility.

win9Mad for MaddyML 6/1

Mad for Maddy (9) leads TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 and brings a 23% career win rate, suggesting she's a horse who has learned to compete at this level. Mychel J. Sanchez rides for Michael V. Pino — a barn that consistently shows up in the money at Parx — and her average speed of 54 is solid for a route race. At 6/1 on the morning line, she's genuinely priced as a value play despite owning the top rating.

place8The Beach Goes OnML 6/1

The Beach Goes On (8) rates second at 74.80 and owns an impressive 36% career win rate — she wins races, plain and simple. Andy Hernandez rides for trainer Guadalupe Preciado at 6/1, and her average speed of 53 keeps her in the mix at the longer distance. That win percentage is a flashing light in a route field, and she's a natural place selection.

show7AllenhurstML 10/1

Allenhurst (7) checks in at 72.92 on our ratings at 10/1 morning line — that's real value for the third-rated horse in the field. Angel Castillo rides for trainer Angel Castillo Jr. — a father-son combination that deserves attention at any price — and his 17% career win rate is respectable. At double-digit odds, he's a strong trifecta inclusion and a sneaky show bet at a price.

Race 11

9:50 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Striking Sparks stands out as the class horse in this allowance optional claiming route, but the undercard intrigue is the value ticket — Authentic Kingdom at 15/1 is a price worth noticing.

win3Striking SparksML 4/1

Striking Sparks (3) leads all horses with a 82.85 TrackWiz rating and owns a solid 21% career win rate — these are the credentials you want from a top pick in allowance company. Jesus M. Rios gets the mount for trainer Jose S. Rodriguez, and his average speed of 53 fits the distance profile for a 1-mile-70-yard route. At 4/1 on the morning line, the value is fair, and the rating margin over most of this field is comfortable enough to make him a confident top selection.

place9Authentic KingdomML 15/1

Authentic Kingdom (9) is the value play of the entire card — a 15/1 morning line on a horse with a 69.58 TrackWiz rating, a 22% career win rate, and a 53 average speed is a price that doesn't add up. Francisco Martinez rides for Clarence B. King, and this horse profiles as exactly the type that can sneak into the top three while the chalk gets all the attention. Circle the exacta with the top pick at those odds.

show5Elusive TargetML 10/1

Elusive Target (5) rates 65.76 with a 17% career win rate and gets Dexter Haddock up for Miguel Penaloza at 10/1 — another live price in what shapes up as an overlay-friendly race. His average speed of 52 is a tick below the top two picks, but in a 12-horse route field, there's enough ground and opportunity for a closer to find clear running. He's a solid trifecta anchor at the price.

Race 12

10:17 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The finale is a wide-open 16-horse claiming sprint with a legitimate standout at the top — Mila Rose has the numbers to dominate, but the deep field at varying odds makes the exotics extremely attractive.

win3Mila RoseML 4/1

Mila Rose (3) is our top-rated horse in the final race at 85.62 and brings the field's joint-highest career win rate at 41% — this is a mare who runs hard and wins races regularly. Mychel J. Sanchez takes the mount for Michael V. Pino, a combination that has been sharp at Parx throughout the card. Her average speed of 53 is right in the competitive range, and at 4/1 on the morning line, she's a legitimate best bet to close out the card.

place15Moor StrengthML 9/2

Moor Strength (15) comes in second at 80.90 on our ratings and gets Kleiner A. Mejias up for trainer Irving Rodriguez at 9/2 — that's solid value for the second-ranked horse in the field. Her average speed of 54 leads all three picks, giving her a raw pace edge that could matter in a sprint. With 16 horses going six furlongs, she's perfectly positioned as a place play in what could be a chaotic final race.

show9MisspentML 6/1

Misspent (9) rates third at 78.71 and owns a strong 30% career win rate — tied for second-highest in the entire field. Dexter Haddock rides for Richard Vega at 6/1, and her average speed of 54 matches Moor Strength at the top of the speed leaderboard. In a 16-horse field where chaos is almost guaranteed, a 30% career winner at 6/1 showing up in your trifecta is exactly the kind of edge you're looking for to close out a card.

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Bottom line: Parx is playing fast today, the pace maps are clean, and we've got strong opinions across all twelve races. Start with South Boundary and Tiza Smokeshow as your free best bets, then let Angie's Reward and Liberte de Bayeux anchor your premium plays. Full card analysis, exotic strategies, and pace projections are waiting for subscribers — check out our plans at /pricing and get in on the action before post time.

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