Daily Picks

Laurel Park Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026

Saturday, June 13, 202610 racesLaurel Park

It's a beautiful Saturday at Laurel Park — clear skies, 83°F, and the kind of firm, fast conditions that make handicappers happy. Ten races are on the board today, and the card leans heavily on turf, with five of the ten events run on the grass. That's a meaningful tilt when you're building tickets and thinking about how track conditions shape the day.

The mix of maiden claimers, straight claimers, and a lone allowance in Race 8 gives us a nice spread of competition levels — from first-timers still finding their footing to seasoned horses looking to move up or cash a paycheck. There's legitimate value scattered across this card, including at least one eye-catching morning line overlay we've flagged in the premium analysis.

Three races are free to all TrackWiz readers today. The remaining seven are part of our full-card premium breakdown. Let's set the table.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint on the turf with a clear class standout at the top, but the second and third choices are close enough on the numbers to make the exotics interesting.

win10Forty Seven SmokerML 9/5

Forty Seven Smoker draws the outside post but brings the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.83 — a significant gap over the second-ranked Contra at 73.75. Posting an average speed figure of 54 in a maiden field where several rivals are showing zeros or sub-52s is meaningful class separation. Jose E. Vargas gets the call, and the 9/5 morning line reflects the morning crowd's agreement. In a sprint on the turf, a horse with that kind of numerical edge should handle first-over pressure and hold on.

place3ContraML 5/2

Contra sits second on our ratings at 73.75 with a matching 54 average speed figure, and Horacio Karamanos is a capable hand who knows this circuit. Trainer Sarah Nagle keeps the price honest at 5/2 on the morning line. With no career wins to report for anyone in here, Contra's consistent speed profile makes her a natural place contender and a key piece in the exacta.

show7LouvarML 5/1

Louvar at 5/1 on the morning line is the show horse worth including in your tickets — a 44.29 TrackWiz rating puts him comfortably in the next tier behind the top two. Trainer Barry Foley sends him out with Taylor Kingsley, and the 54 average speed figure matches several horses ahead of him on paper. In a large maiden field on the turf, a horse with legitimate speed figures and a fair price is worth covering in trifecta plays.

Race 2

4:29 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A fascinating top-heavy claiming mile on the dirt where two horses are virtually deadlocked on the ratings — expect the pace duel to shape this one and give a chance to the closers lurking behind.

win3Yo LevenML 3/1

Yo Leven leads our analysis by the slimmest of margins — an 87.08 TrackWiz rating versus Margaret P's 86.69 — but the edge is real. Posting a 52 average speed figure while showing a 6% career win rate, Daniel Centeno takes the mount for trainer Michelle Nevin. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is a horse that figures to be forwardly placed over a one-turn mile and should have the late kick to hold off the favorite.

place1Margaret PML 2/1

Margaret P checks in at 86.69, just a whisker off the top, and Jean Gregor Briceno is one of the sharper riders on the Laurel circuit. The 2/1 morning line makes her the public's choice, and a 51 average speed figure over a route of ground is respectable at this level. If the pace heats up between the two leaders, she's exactly the type to keep running through the lane for a piece.

show6Chickin LickinML 8/5

Chickin Lickin is the lukewarm favorite at 8/5 morning line but checks in third on our ratings at 55.84 — a notable gap behind the top two. Jose E. Vargas is a live rider, and a 7% career win rate tells you this horse competes. She fits comfortably as the show horse in trifecta construction given the competitive edge the top two hold.

Race 3

4:58 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A loaded ten-horse turf claiming route where the morning-line favorite is well off the pace on the ratings and a pair of better-priced horses look poised to outrun their odds.

win4Patrick's PromiseML 6/1

Patrick's Promise tops our TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 in a field where the public is gravitating toward Villain at 5/2 despite that horse checking in at only 42.81. Trainer Michael J. Trombetta is one of the sharper conditioners in the mid-Atlantic, and Horacio Karamanos pairs nicely in this spot. The 54 average speed figure is tied for the fastest in the field, and a 13% career win rate gives you a horse that competes consistently. At 6/1 on the morning line, this is a genuine value play.

place10Mr FlowersML 5/1

Mr Flowers rates second in the field at 75.78 and is trained by Jamie Ness, who consistently places horses well in turf spots. Mychel J. Sanchez takes the mount from the outside post. With an 11% career win rate and a 52 average speed figure, Mr Flowers profiles as a reliable closer who can work his way through traffic over a mile and a sixteenth.

show1Fully BookedML 5/1

Fully Booked brings the most impressive career win rate in the field at 25% and a solid 72.43 rating to go along with it. Trainer Hugh I. McMahon and Sofia Vives team up from the rail, and in a ten-horse turf field the inside post can be an asset if the pace sets up right. An average speed figure of 52 is modest but consistent, making Fully Booked a logical show anchor and trifecta piece.

Our three free best bets today span both surfaces and give you a solid foundation for the afternoon. Forty Seven Smoker opens the card in a 5½-furlong turf maiden claimer — a 9/5 morning line favorite with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating, which is the highest among the free picks and a mark that commands respect in maiden company. In Race 2, Yo Leven steps onto the dirt at 1 1/16 miles as a 3/1 shot with an 87.08 rating — a realistic price for a horse our model rates near the top of the field. Then Race 3 sends us back to the grass for another 1 1/16-mile test, where Patrick's Promise at 6/1 is the kind of morning-line overlay that makes turf handicapping fun. Don't let that price scare you off before you read the full breakdown.

The throughline across these three free races? The turf is your friend today. Firm footing in the Maryland heat tends to reward horses with clean tactical speed, and Patrick's Promise in particular fits a pace scenario that could set up nicely for a closer price than 6/1 deserves.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:27 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Two horses separate themselves clearly from the rest of this maiden claiming sprint field, but keep an eye on a big-priced longshot who rates surprisingly well for the odds he'll command.

win5Country BumpkinML EVN

Country Bumpkin goes postward as the even-money morning-line choice, and the 83.08 TrackWiz rating backs up that confidence — it's the highest in the field by nearly 10 points. Jose A. Batista gets the call for trainer Kieron Magee, a combination that knows how to win at Laurel. The 55 average speed figure is tops in the field and gives Country Bumpkin a legitimate edge going six furlongs on the dirt. Even at short odds, this is the one to beat.

place3FarooqML 9/5

Farooq rates a solid 73.26 and checks in second on the speed figures with a 54 average — matching the top of the field. Jose E. Vargas is a consistent rider for trainer Katharine M. Voss, and the 9/5 morning line suggests this is a race where two horses are expected to run well clear. Farooq is your natural exacta saver if Country Bumpkin gets loose on the lead.

show6El PapacitoML 15/1

El Papacito is the longshot worth noting at 15/1, and the 69.58 TrackWiz rating is genuinely eye-catching for a horse the crowd will largely ignore. Jean Gregor Briceno takes the mount for trainer Somraj Singh, and a 53 average speed figure is the third-best in the field despite what the odds suggest. In a short maiden field, a 15/1 horse with that kind of underlying rating is exactly the type to sneak into the trifecta and pay well.

Race 5

5:54 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The class of this turf mile field is concentrated at the top, with a dominant ratings leader at a playable price setting up nicely against a pace scenario that should favor the controlling speed.

win4SticktothesystemML 2/1

Sticktothesystem owns the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54, a meaningful margin over second-ranked Fairfield Bay at 77.96. Trainer William A. Campbell sends out a horse with a 15% career win rate and a 52 average speed figure, with Xavier Perez in the irons. At 2/1 on the morning line, you're not getting rich, but this is a horse whose numbers say he belongs in a different class than most of this field. The pace scenario over a mile on the turf should set up for a horse that can sit just off the lead and accelerate.

place5Fairfield BayML 5/1

Fairfield Bay rates second in the field at 77.96 and brings a very strong 20% career win rate — one of the best conversion rates in this spot. The 53 average speed figure is a tick better than the chalk, and trainer Justin J. Nixon places horses well in these mid-level claiming events. Jean Gregor Briceno gets on board, and at 5/1 on the morning line, Fairfield Bay represents genuine place value in the exacta.

show1Finn McSorleyML 5/2

Finn McSorley at 5/2 morning line sits third on our ratings at 64.92 — a noticeable step below the top two, but Horacio Karamanos is the kind of jockey who can squeeze every inch out of a horse in a short field. The 52 average speed figure is modest, but a 9% career win rate tells you this horse has been competitive. In a race where the top two should clear the field, Finn McSorley's closing profile makes him a reasonable show anchor.

Race 6

6:23 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A massive sixteen-horse maiden turf sprint that's a handicapper's puzzle, but a clear top three on the ratings emerge from the chaos — including a morning-line chalk who doesn't hold the top rating.

win1Skedaddling HomeML 4/1

Skedaddling Home tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 and brings the second-best average speed figure in the field at 56. Trainer Michael J. Trombetta is one of the elite conditioners in this region, and Horacio Karamanos is his go-to pilot in these spots — that's a sharp barn-jockey combo that deserves respect. At 4/1 on the morning line in a big field, there's real value attached to the top-rated horse. With experience and raw speed, Skedaddling Home should be forwardly placed and tough to catch.

place3Original ScoreML 5/2

Original Score rates 81.83 and is trained by the respected Arnaud Delacour, who has a strong record placing horses on the grass. Daniel Centeno is a capable hand from post 3, and a 52 average speed figure is solid in the context of this field. The 5/2 morning line makes Original Score the public's second choice, which is fair — but in a race this large, getting the second-best-rated horse to finish in the top two is a realistic ask.

show6Fortune HillML 8/1

Fortune Hill checks in at a 77.50 TrackWiz rating — third in a large field — and posts a 54 average speed figure that stands up well against the competition. Trainer Irvin G. Flores and jockey Gavin Ashton combine from post 6, a manageable spot in a turf sprint. At 8/1 on the morning line, Fortune Hill is a legitimate value play for trifecta and superfecta construction, sitting just outside the obvious top two without commanding the price of a longshot.

Race 7

6:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A tightly contested seven-horse dirt sprint at the claiming level where the morning-line favorite doesn't match the top rating, setting up a potential overlay on the horse our numbers like best.

win5Missy SixtysixML 3/1

Missy Sixtysix comes in with the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.08 — comfortably clear of the 2/1 morning-line favorite Itsamonstamash at 66.86. Trainer Michael M. Moore sends her out with Eliseo Ruiz, and a 17% career win rate over a 54 average speed figure is a competitive profile at this level. At 3/1 on the morning line, Missy Sixtysix is a legitimate value play against a chalk whose rating doesn't match the price. Six furlongs on the dirt suits this profile perfectly.

place6ItsamonstamashML 2/1

Itsamonstamash is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and posts a 26% career win rate — one of the best conversion numbers in the field — which explains the public love. Xavier Perez handles the mount for trainer John J. Robb, and a 53 average speed figure is respectable. Even at a rating of 66.86, well below our top pick, the experience and win rate make Itsamonstamash a bankable place contender.

show3BellofthebluegrassML 3/1

Bellofthebluegrass is the most intriguing show ticket in this race, checking in with a 31% career win rate — the highest in the field — and a 60.08 TrackWiz rating. Jose E. Vargas is a sharp choice in the irons for trainer Anthony Farrior, and a 53 average speed figure keeps her competitive with the field. The 3/1 morning line won't inflate your trifecta payouts, but her win rate says she hits the board more often than not.

Race 8

7:22 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

An allowance turf sprint with a legitimate class standout at the top of the ratings, but the second and third choices are close enough to make the exacta genuinely competitive — and the morning-line favorite isn't the horse our numbers like most.

win2BrightshininglightML 4/1

Brightshininglight tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 and brings a strong 25% career win rate — a horse that converts at a high clip for trainer Eveline Kjelstrup. Tais Lyapustina gets the mount, and a 55 average speed figure matches the best in this field. At 4/1 on the morning line in an allowance spot, there's real value here against Easy Action, who is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 but rates third at 74.83. The class and the numbers say Brightshininglight should be the one to catch.

place6Rye DiggitydogML 2/1

Rye Diggitydog is the 2/1 morning-line choice and rates second in the field at 75.43 for trainer Hugh I. McMahon with Sofia Vives riding. The 57 average speed figure is tied for the best in the race — a genuine asset in a five-and-a-half furlong turf sprint where raw early pace can carry you a long way. A 17% career win rate is solid, and from post 6, Rye Diggitydog should get a clean trip and be right there at the wire.

show7Easy ActionML 8/5

Easy Action is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 and checks in third on our ratings at 74.83 — still a strong number, just not the top. A 31% career win rate is the best in this field and a major reason the public is enamored. The 54 average speed figure is competitive, and trainer Hugo O. Padilla clearly has this horse ready to run. Even if our top-rated horse beats her, Easy Action's win rate profile keeps her firmly in the show slot.

Race 9

7:51 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Turf

A starter optional claiming sprint on the turf with a clear top-rated runner going postward at a fair morning-line price, though a pair of live contenders loom to keep the exacta from being automatic.

win8Wonder GirlML 3/1

Wonder Girl leads this field convincingly with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — a full 9+ points clear of the second-ranked Beautiful Crazy at 77.83. Trainer Michael J. Trombetta is among the best in the region at placing horses in optional claiming grass spots, and Horacio Karamanos is a top pick in his own right. The 57 average speed figure is tied for the highest in the field, and a 14% career win rate at this level shows she can get the job done. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is a horse whose price should be shorter.

place10Beautiful CrazyML 6/1

Beautiful Crazy rates 77.83 and posts a 27% career win rate — one of the stronger conversion numbers in this race — which makes her a serious threat to land a piece. Denis Vicente Araujo takes the mount for trainer Michael E. Jones, Jr., and the 57 average speed figure ties for tops in the field. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's legitimate place value here if you're looking to boost your exacta return.

show5Clay SoldierML 9/2

Clay Soldier at 9/2 on the morning line checks in third on our ratings at 62.28 and brings the best average speed figure in the entire field at 58. Daniel Centeno rides for trainer Michael V. Simone, and a 13% career win rate tells you this horse is competitive without being dominant. The raw speed number in a sprint suggests Clay Soldier can press the pace or sit just off it and last for a piece in what could be a fast-tempo race.

Race 10

8:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming closer to wrap up the card on the dirt, with one horse separating itself meaningfully from the field on the ratings despite a morning-line price that suggests the public hasn't fully caught on.

win7Hurricane LynnML 4/1

Hurricane Lynn tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 — a substantial edge over the second-ranked Truly an Honor at 69.13. Trainer Kieron Magee is a sharp conditioner who spots horses well at Laurel, and Jose E. Vargas is one of the most active and effective riders on the circuit. The 53 average speed figure is middle-of-the-pack, but in a maiden field where several rivals show zeroes or sub-53 figures, the overall rating edge is what matters. At 4/1 on the morning line, this is a horse worth trusting to close out your card.

place2Truly an HonorML 5/2

Truly an Honor rates second in the field at 69.13 and draws a 5/2 morning-line tag that prices her as a co-second choice. Anthony Farrior sends her out with Jeiron Barbosa aboard, a pairing that knows how to finish in the money at this track. A 52 average speed figure is modest but consistent, and in a field where only two horses are clearly separated from the pack, Truly an Honor's profile makes her a natural place horse and exacta key.

show5Gem On TourML 5/2

Gem On Tour at 5/2 morning line checks in third on our ratings at 57.50 and is trained by Anthony Farrior — interesting that the same barn runs both Gem On Tour and our place pick Truly an Honor. Denis Vicente Araujo takes the mount, and while the average speed figure is absent from the record, the 57.50 rating holds up well against the rest of the field. Two horses from the same barn in a seven-horse maiden race creates interesting dynamics, and Gem On Tour is a live show contender in your trifectas.

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Bottom line: Laurel Park is delivering a full 10-race card on a gorgeous June afternoon, with turf dominating the afternoon and legitimate value plays scattered throughout. Forty Seven Smoker, Yo Leven, and Patrick's Promise are your free best bets to anchor the early card. For the full picture — pace scenarios, exotic tickets, and a closer look at Sticktothesystem and beyond — TrackWiz premium subscribers have everything they need. Good luck at the windows today.

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