Daily Picks

Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks & Predictions — June 9, 2026

Tuesday, June 9, 20269 racesHorseshoe Indianapolis

Horseshoe Indianapolis is rolling out a nine-race card on Tuesday, June 9th, and the weather is about as cooperative as it gets for a mid-week session — partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 83°F mean we shouldn't have to worry about weather throwing any curveballs at us today.

The card is nicely varied, mixing sprint and route action across both dirt and turf. We've got maiden claiming openers, a pair of MSW routes, an allowance turf mile, and even a 400-yard quarter-horse dash to close things out. There's something here for every handicapping style, whether you're grinding the claiming ranks or hunting for overlay value in the grass races.

TrackWiz analysis has identified strong top picks across all nine races. Three of those races are open to everyone — no subscription needed. The other six are part of the full premium card breakdown. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

6:10 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint where TrackWiz's ratings reveal a clear top tier separated from the rest — but with all zeros in the win column, first-out form is anyone's guess.

win6BorderML 2/1

Border (6) sits atop our ratings with an 88.54 score — the highest in the field by a meaningful margin — and draws morning line favoritism at 2/1, which tells you the local crowd agrees. Trainer Joseph D. Davis conditions this one, and the short 5-furlong distance suits a horse that should be quick out of the gate. With an avg speed figure of 53 matching several rivals, Border's edge lives in that top TrackWiz rating, suggesting better underlying potential than the numbers alone show. Hannah Leahey gets the call in the irons, and this looks like a solid spot to play the chalk.

place2Woodall PassML 5/1

Woodall Pass (2) carries the second-highest rating in the field at 81.8 and comes in at a generous 5/1 morning line, offering real overlay potential in the place pool. Trainer Carl J. Deville sends this one out with Micah Meeks up, and the pairing merits attention. If Border stumbles or gets shuffled early, Woodall Pass is positioned to capitalize.

show3Earl's LadyML 7/2

Earl's Lady (3) checks in with a 78.78 TrackWiz rating and is listed at 7/2 on the morning line — making her a solid exotic anchor in this wide-open maiden field. Irving Moncada rides for trainer Randy L. Klopp, a barn that knows the Horseshoe Indianapolis surface. At those odds, she's worth including underneath in trifecta tickets as a reliable third.

Race 2

6:41 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The favorite is loaded in this dirt route claimer, but a pair of capable alternatives lurk underneath and could make this more competitive than the morning line suggests.

win2Toy'stroubledheroML 9/5

Toy'stroubledhero (2) is the standout in our model with an 88.83 rating — tops in the field — and the 9/5 morning line reflects the market's confidence. Trainer Randy L. Klopp puts Fernando De La Cruz aboard, a sharp jockey-trainer combo that commands respect on this circuit. The horse carries an 8% career win rate, modest in isolation, but the class edge and speed rating separation here are real. In a route on dirt, a horse with this profile that also figures to be forwardly placed is tough to beat.

place6ChiselML 4/1

Chisel (6) is an interesting place play at 4/1, posting a 77.38 TrackWiz rating and a 4% career win rate — numbers that suggest a horse who hits the board more than he tops it. Irving Moncada rides for trainer Klopp, who also has the favorite in this race, giving the barn two bullets and strong stable form. If Toy'stroubledhero gets into a pace duel, Chisel's closing style could land him in the exacta.

show5Concho's PrayerML 5/2

Concho's Prayer (5) rounds out our top three at 5/2 on the morning line with a 70.47 rating, and Mitchell Murrill is a strong rider to have in a route. Trainer Tim Eggleston's horse comes in with a clean career record — 0% win rate but the rating suggests more ability than that figure implies. Worth including in trifecta coverage given the morning line price.

Race 3

7:12 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

The morning line favorite isn't TrackWiz's top pick in this maiden special weight route, setting up a potential value play if the crowd leans too hard on Laken.

win1My Secret DreamsML 5/1

My Secret Dreams (1) is our top-rated horse at 84.17 despite going off at 5/1 on the morning line — that's a meaningful gap between our model and the public, which is exactly where value lives. Trainer Genaro Garcia sends this one out with Amir Mendoza up, a capable pairing at this level. The horse's avg speed figure of 52 is in line with the field, so the edge is in the totality of our rating rather than raw speed alone. At MSW level over 1 1/16 miles on dirt, trip and pace scenario matter enormously — and this horse's profile sets up well.

place7LakenML 8/5

Laken (7) is the 8/5 morning line choice and carries the field's highest avg speed figure at 55, which is a legitimate edge in a sprint-turned-route scenario. Mario Gutierrez — a veteran jockey — handles this one for Victoria H. Oliver's barn. Our model has Laken second in the field at 64.69, slightly behind My Secret Dreams, making her a logical place pick even if we're fading her for win.

show2ReachingforthemoonML 3/1

Reachingforthemoon (2) comes in at 3/1 on the morning line with a 62.19 TrackWiz rating, landing third in our field rankings. Trainer Paulo H. Lobo puts Alberto Burgos up, and at an MSW level where debut form is uncertain, having a horse with upside credentials at a reasonable price makes her a sensible show-ticket inclusion. She rounds out a logical top three for exotic players.

The first three races are on the house. We kick things off in Race 1 with Border (morning line 2/1, TrackWiz rating 88.54) in a maiden claiming sprint over five furlongs of dirt — a spot where early speed can be decisive, so pace scenario is front and center. Race 2 stretches out to a mile and 70 yards on the dirt, and Toy'stroubledhero (9/5 ML, rating 88.83) earns the top mark in what shapes up as a solid claiming route. In Race 3, the maiden special weight route at 1 1/16 miles is wide open, and My Secret Dreams (5/1 ML, rating 84.17) stands out as a legitimate value play — that morning line price is worth noting if you're looking for a free race with some upside.

With the dirt surface looking fast under warm, dry conditions, speed figures should translate cleanly in the early sprint. The route races reward horses who can settle and sustain, and our free picks reflect both angles. Good starting foundation for building into the back half of the card.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

7:43 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A deep nine-horse allowance field on the turf features a wide-open pace scenario and multiple contenders clustered in rating — but one horse's elite career win rate helps separate her from the pack.

win6Annie ExpressML 9/5

Annie Express (6) tops our model at 88.83 and has a 21% career win rate to back it up — genuine proven ability, not just theoretical upside. Fernando De La Cruz rides for trainer Chaz Rechy, and the 9/5 morning line signals the market respects this pairing. On turf at 1 1/16 miles, a horse with this combination of top rating, solid win percentage, and a sharp jockey is the right side to be on. She's the play.

place9Sweet SaintML 3/1

Sweet Saint (9) is arguably the most intriguing horse on this card — a 62% career win rate is extraordinary at any level and screams class and consistency. Samuel E. Bermudez rides for Randy L. Klopp, and despite a 3/1 morning line, this horse's win rate dwarfs the rest of the field. The 83.04 TrackWiz rating is second-best among the contenders. If Annie Express hits any trouble, Sweet Saint is the most likely heir.

show7Innisfree LassML 7/2

Innisfree Lass (7) rounds out our exotic play with an 81.8 rating and a respectable 25% career win rate — both figures that confirm legitimate turf form. Alberto Burgos gets the mount for trainer John Haran, and the 7/2 morning line makes her a fair-priced show anchor. In a nine-horse turf field where pace can get complicated, a horse with this kind of consistent form is worth keeping onside.

Race 5

8:14 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Two horses dominate the TrackWiz ratings in this six-furlong dirt claimer, but the morning line has them at very different prices — setting up a potential value play in the exacta.

win6What's Up DogML 2/1

What's Up Dog (6) leads our model at 85.44 and goes off at just 2/1 on the morning line, meaning the public and our algorithm are aligned. Trainer Cipriano Contreras' horse carries a 14% career win rate and an avg speed figure of 54 — tied for tops in the field. Emmanuel Esquivel takes the mount, and in a six-furlong dash on dirt where front speed gets rewarded, this horse's profile fits perfectly. Hard to find a reason to look away.

place8Pickle ShoesML 6/1

Pickle Shoes (8) is the value angle here — an 82.71 TrackWiz rating that nearly matches the top pick, yet the morning line has this one at 6/1. That's a significant gap. Evin A. Roman rides for trainer Tomas Medina, and with a 14% career win rate and solid 53 avg speed figure, Pickle Shoes has the credentials to finish in the top two. If the exacta lands, it could pay nicely.

show3Don't Cross AlexisML 8/5

Don't Cross Alexis (3) is the morning line choice at 8/5 but ranks third in our model at 77.61 — another case where the public price may be a little short for what the data supports. Irving Moncada rides for Randy L. Klopp's barn, which is running well today. With a 14% career win rate and the highest avg speed at 54, the show-level form is real, but there may be better win value elsewhere.

Race 6

8:45 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Thirteen horses fill out this turf starter optional claimer, creating a tangled pace scenario — but three horses with nearly identical top ratings and strong win percentages sit in a tier above the field.

win13JazzoleML 6/1

Jazzole (13) is our top pick at 82.71 with a standout 40% career win rate — that kind of consistency demands respect regardless of condition level. Trainer Genaro Garcia gets Marcelino Pedroza Jr. in the irons, a savvy rider who handles turf routes well. The 6/1 morning line represents real value given our model's view, and with a 54 avg speed figure, Jazzole has the turn-of-foot to compete late on a one-mile turf course. This is our best bet in the race.

place1Count of AmazoniaML 4/1

Count of Amazonia (1) sits a razor-thin second in our model at 82.66 — essentially a dead heat with Jazzole on ratings — and brings a 16% career win rate to the table at 4/1. Pedroza Jr. also rides for trainer Eric N. Foster, giving him a double in this race. The rail draw on a one-mile turf course is worth monitoring, but if the pace opens up on the far turn, Count of Amazonia has the profile to grab the place spot.

show6BoitanoML 5/2

Boitano (6) has a 34% career win rate that ranks second in the entire field and a TrackWiz rating of 81.88 — extremely close to the top two. Trainer Jose M. Camejo sends Luan Machado out at 5/2 on the morning line, and in a race this competitive, the public has clearly identified this one as a factor. For trifecta players, Boitano is a must-use in the bottom.

Race 7

9:16 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A competitive six-furlong dirt claimer with a legitimate upset threat lurking behind the morning line — our model separates a value-priced winner from the crowd favorites.

win7CompressedML 6/1

Compressed (7) is TrackWiz's top-rated horse at 81.87 and goes off at 6/1 — that gap between model and morning line is exactly the kind of overlay we're targeting. Keith J. Asmussen gets the call for trainer Steven M. Asmussen, one of the most accomplished barns in the country, and that combination alone commands serious respect. A 12% career win rate is modest but the Asmussen operation typically sends horses out fit and ready. In a six-furlong dirt sprint, expect this horse to be sitting close to the pace and pouncing in the stretch.

place2Creek ValleyML 5/2

Creek Valley (2) is the 5/2 morning line choice and makes sense as a legitimate contender — a 77.11 rating and a 14% career win rate back up the public confidence. Fernando De La Cruz rides for trainer Aaron M. West, and this horse posts the field's highest avg speed figure at 55, which is a real edge going six panels on dirt. If the pace scenario heats up early, Creek Valley's tactical speed gives him options.

show6NehalemML 10/1

Nehalem (6) is the value show play of the race — 76.88 TrackWiz rating third in the field, 16% career win rate, yet the morning line sits at 10/1. Trainer Terry Vaughn also conditions High as the Sky in this race, giving the barn a two-horse shot. Pedroza Jr. takes the mount, adding another skilled rider to the equation. At those odds, Nehalem is a smart trifecta underneath at minimal cost.

Race 8

9:47 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

An eleven-horse maiden special weight on the turf features a dominant top rating that stands alone above a surprisingly even middle tier — first-time grass runners add extra intrigue.

win4MordecaiML 7/2

Mordecai (4) is the clear class of this field based on TrackWiz analysis — an 86.35 rating that sits more than 20 points above the next cluster of contenders is a meaningful separation. Mitchell Murrill gets the call for trainer Jonathan Nance, and Murrill is the kind of jockey who can nurse a turf maiden through early trouble. The 7/2 morning line is reasonable for a horse with this kind of model edge in a first-level MSW. We're comfortable making this the single on the card.

place10Silent ToneML 9/2

Silent Tone (10) comes in at 9/2 with a 62.87 rating — second-highest among the eleven starters — and gets Marcelino Pedroza Jr. up for trainer Anthony J. Granitz. In a maiden turf route, pace shape is critical, and Pedroza is exactly the type to find a good position off the early leaders. At a shade under 5/1, there's real value in the place pool for Silent Tone.

show11Money MondayML 5/1

Money Monday (11) rounds out our top three at 58.11 and goes off at 5/1, making this an honest price for a horse with show-level credentials in a wide-open maiden field. Trainer Jonathan Nance also trains our top pick Mordecai, so the barn has the form to compete on this surface. Andres P. Ulloa handles the mount, and for trifecta builders, Money Monday is a sensible include under the top two.

Race 9

10:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A 400-yard maiden dash on dirt — the quarter-horse straight sprint format means gate speed is everything, and TrackWiz's top-rated horse has a significant edge over this maiden field.

win3Sizzzling HeartML 3/1

Sizzzling Heart (3) leads our model with an 87.08 rating — by far the highest in a field where the next-closest sits nearly 16 points behind. The 3/1 morning line reflects genuine favoritism, and with trainer Anthony F. Cunningham putting Luz Daniel Martinez in the gate, this horse has a professional connections package. In a 400-yard dash where every tenth of a second matters, having a horse with this kind of top rating is the clearest signal we can give. This is our best bet of the night card.

place9Hh Chasing CjML 8/1

Hh Chasing Cj (9) is the most interesting value in this race — a 71.4 TrackWiz rating that ranks second in the field yet goes off at 8/1 on the morning line. Trainer Shawna Martin sends Yovani Flores-Munoz to the gate, and in a sprint format where gate position and break quality are the only variables, this horse has the underlying ratings to compete. At 8/1, the place pool should pay well if Hh Chasing Cj fires.

show8CruisindownthebeachML 7/2

Cruisindownthebeach (8) sits in a cluster at 3.5/1 on the morning line with a 55.72 TrackWiz rating — third in the field. Trainer Jose Cazares sends Dex Mitchell to the gate, and in a format this short, anything can happen off the break. As a show anchor in a trifecta, Cruisindownthebeach offers decent odds for a horse with a legitimate claim to the top three.

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It's a well-rounded Tuesday card at Horseshoe Indianapolis with real angles throughout. Border, Toy'stroubledhero, and My Secret Dreams are your free best bets to get the day started. If you want the full nine-race breakdown — pace projections, exotic tickets, and all the premium picks — subscribers have it all waiting for them. Good luck at the windows today.

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