Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — June 11, 2026
Delaware Park serves up a nine-race Thursday card under partly cloudy skies with the mercury pushing 87°F. Warm but not oppressive — the kind of afternoon where the turf courses tend to play firm and fast, which matters a lot today with three races scheduled on the grass.
The card is a solid mix of claiming and maiden action sprinkled with an allowance and a starter optional claiming to close things out. TrackWiz analysis flagged some sharp pace setups and a couple of spots where the morning line looks a little generous — always a good sign for bettors hunting live value.
Races 1 through 3 are free for all TrackWiz readers. The full nine-race breakdown, including our premium pace projections and exotic ticket strategies, is available to subscribers.
Best Bets
Race 1
Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt
A one-mile dirt claiming opener where two standout TrackWiz ratings set up a clear top tier, but the morning line favorite and the top-rated horse aren't the same animal — creating a juicy tension at the top.
Miti Fast Flower earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.54 — the highest by a meaningful margin over the rest — and draws the morning line favorite role at 2/1. Her 21% career win rate is solid for this claiming level, and with an average speed figure of 51 matching the pace setters in the field, she should be comfortable at the mile distance on dirt. Trainer Kelly Lynn Deiter puts her in a spot where the numbers strongly support a forward effort, and Kevin Gomez gets the mount.
Principia is the morning line chalk at 8/5 and rates second on our board at 84.77, with the best average speed figure in the race at 53 — a tick above the rest of the top contenders. Trainer Jamie Ness has a knack for placing horses correctly, and the 16% career win rate is respectable. Even if she can't quite get past Miti Fast Flower, she has the raw numbers to land on the board consistently.
Laughing Fit slots in at 4/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 79.33, making her a logical third wheel in the exotics. Her career win rate of 11% is modest, but she matches the average speed of the two horses above her and gives trainer Bruce M. Kravets a live price to work with. Jockey Ricardo Chiappe adds experience to the combination, and at 4/1 she represents fair value in a show position.
Race 2
Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
Six furlongs on the dirt with a pace question at the heart of it — Saint Cloud figures to put pressure on the early speed, but Sweet Winner's top-line rating says she has the overall profile to handle whatever scenario unfolds.
Sweet Winner tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 and is second choice on the morning line at 5/2, suggesting there's a touch of value if she runs to her number. Her average speed figure of 53 leads most of the field, though her 8% career win rate is worth noting — this horse has been good without finishing first at an elite clip. Trainer Daniel Velazquez and Cipriano Gil team up in a race where the form edge is real, and the six-furlong trip should suit her profile.
Gonzalo sits right behind Sweet Winner in the ratings at 74.69 and goes off at a workable 3/1 morning line. His 16% career win rate is the highest among the main contenders, and his average speed of 52 keeps him in the conversation for the board. Trainer Pedro Nazario has runners in multiple races today, and Paul A. Luna takes the mount — a horse that doesn't have to win to pay decent place prices at this number.
Borz is the value play for show tickets at 9/2 with a TrackWiz rating of 70.66 and a standout 25% career win rate — the highest in this field by a wide margin. He ties Saint Cloud for the best average speed figure at 54, meaning he has genuine speed to work with on a short trip. Trainer Jonathaniel Badillo-Casado has him at a fair price, and that career win percentage tells you this horse knows how to hit the board.
Race 3
Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt
A ten-horse claiming field going a mile and 70 yards on dirt — the pace scenario here is layered, with Patton's Tizzy's best speed figures up near the lead, while Majestic Tiger's top rating says the outcome may hinge on a closer running the right trip.
Majestic Tiger tops the TrackWiz board at 87.08 and goes off at 3/1 on the morning line — a fair price for the class of the field. Trainer Jamie Ness saddles this horse in a route on dirt where the 9% career win rate is offset by a strong overall profile; in claiming routes, it's often the horse who runs the most consistently that wins, not just the one with the highest raw win percentage. Martin Chuan gets the ride, and at a mile and 70 yards, there's room for the best horse to find a spot and deliver.
Patton's Tizzy is the morning line favorite at 2/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 80.91 and the best average speed figure in the race at 54 — that raw pace edge could be decisive in a moderate field. His 20% career win rate is among the best in the field and Paco Lopez is a strong booking, so don't underestimate him finishing in the top two even if Majestic Tiger is the overall pick.
Crabcakes N Beer offers a tidy show option at 6/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 77.37 and a career win rate of 18%. Trainer Victor Carrasco, Jr. sends him out at a price that makes him attractive for exacta and trifecta construction. His average speed of 52 is respectable and if the pace scenario sets up with Patton's Tizzy grinding up front, Crabcakes N Beer could be the third wheel coming on late.
Our three free best bets today all come on the dirt, which keeps the surface question simple — conventional speed figures apply and post position matters on Delaware's one-mile main track. Miti Fast Flower opens the card at 2/1 in a one-mile claiming event with the highest TrackWiz rating of the free trio (88.54), suggesting a horse that looks comfortably ahead of her field on paper. Sweet Winner follows in Race 2 at 5/2 over six furlongs — a sprint distance where pace scenario becomes everything, and our model likes how this one projects to be forwardly placed without burning up early. Majestic Tiger rounds out the free picks in Race 3 at 3/1 going a mile and 70 yards, a slightly awkward distance that tends to sort out in favor of closers with a turn of foot. All three free picks carry ratings in the high 80s, meaning TrackWiz sees genuine separation between these horses and the rest of their respective fields.
Full Card Analysis
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Bottom line: this is a workmanlike Delaware card with some real opportunity buried inside it. Miti Fast Flower, Sweet Winner, and Majestic Tiger are the free best bets to anchor your early races. For Blue Fashion, Wyoming Class, and the full exotic breakdowns across all nine races, subscribe to TrackWiz and get the complete analysis before post time. Good luck out there — race smart.