Daily Picks

Assiniboia Picks & Predictions — June 9, 2026

Tuesday, June 9, 20267 racesAssiniboia

It's a pleasant Tuesday at Assiniboia Downs — partly cloudy skies, 80°F, and a 7-race dirt card that gives us plenty to chew on. Conditions look fast and favorable, which means speed should hold up and front-runners will need to be respected in the pace equations all afternoon.

The card mixes maiden special weights, claiming races, and a pair of allowance optional claiming spots, so there's a real range of competition levels to navigate. Whether you're fading morning-line chalk or hunting for overlays, today's card has angles at every price point — including a 12/1 shot in Race 4 that our TrackWiz ratings genuinely like.

Three races are open to all readers, with full analysis on all seven available to TrackWiz subscribers. Let's break down what's in play.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:30 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint where no horse has broken their maiden yet, but the top of the TrackWiz ratings separates three legitimate contenders from the rest of the field.

win1Brown LiteML EVN

Brown Lite draws the rail and carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 60, backed by even-money morning line odds that suggest the market agrees. Trainer Devon Gittens sends this one out with Rashawn Brewster in the irons, a combination worth watching in a maiden sprint. The average speed figure of 52 is solid for this level, and at even money, the public clearly sees something here — our analysis does too.

place6Rise AgainML 5/2

Rise Again has the second-highest rating in the field at 57.5 and the best average speed figure among the contenders at 53, which is an edge worth noting in a 5½-furlong sprint. Trained by Michael Nault and piloted by Antonio Whitehall, this one offers a bit of value at 5/2 on the morning line and looks like a safe underneath play.

show3Known to BeML 4/1

Known to Be checks in with a 55 rating and opens at 4/1, making it a sensible exotics anchor in this maiden affair. Jockey Ciera Pruitt teams with trainer Lise Pruitt — a family connection that often signals high confidence in a horse's readiness. No speed figure on record adds some mystery, but the rating and price make this a worthwhile show play.

Race 2

1:00 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A clear top-two standout situation in this allowance optional claiming mile, with a pair of high-rated contenders well clear of the rest and a potential value bomb lurking in the two-hole.

win3Dancing RaquelML 9/5

Dancing Raquel is the class of this field with a TrackWiz rating of 83.21 — the highest in the race — and carries a 15% career win rate into the 7-furlong test. Trainer Mike Taphorn puts up Ronald Ali, and at 9/5 on the morning line, the public has installed her as a deserving favorite. Her average speed figure of 54 is right in line with the top group, and our analysis sees no reason to fade her here.

place4Beelieve HerML 5/2

Beelieve Her is the only horse in the field that can match Dancing Raquel's rating tier, clocking in at 81.06 with a matching 15% career win rate. Trainer Wendy Anderson also runs Dynamic Strike in this spot, but Beelieve Her is clearly the stablemate with the superior numbers. At 5/2, the price isn't generous, but as a place horse behind the favorite, she makes plenty of sense.

show2Cymbal CourtML 15/1

Cymbal Court is the value play in the show spot, carrying a 69.58 rating that puts her third in this field while sitting at a generous 15/1 on the morning line. A 12% career win rate shows she knows how to hit the board, and trainer Steven Gaskin also saddles Frisky Business in Race 1 — he's active on the card. If the top two get into a pace battle at seven furlongs, Cymbal Court could be running at the right time to sneak into third.

Race 3

1:25 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

Three horses are bunched at the very top of the TrackWiz ratings in this claiming route, setting up a competitive stretch duel — but one of them has a clear edge in the win percentage department.

win4Oregon CountyML 2/1

Oregon County is the top-rated horse in the field at 87.68 and backs it up with the best career win percentage at 24% — that combination is tough to beat in a claiming race at this level. Sheldon Chickeness gets the call for trainer Jerry Gourneau, and the 2/1 morning line reflects legitimate confidence from the market. The average speed figure of 53 ties him with Promise Code for the best in the field, and our analysis makes him the clear top selection in Race 3.

place5Free MakerML 5/1

Free Maker brings an 84.17 rating — second only to Oregon County — and a 14% career win rate that's respectable in this claiming company. Antonio Whitehall rides for trainer Fred Rawson, and at 5/1, there's some value in using him underneath. The average speed figure of 51 is a tick below the top two, but his overall profile screams solid place horse in a competitive three-horse battle.

show3ShabamML 5/2

Shabam checks in third in the ratings at 82.62 with a 15% career win rate, making her a legitimate threat to land in the exotics. Ronald Ali aboard for trainer Wendy Anderson is a strong combination, and the 5/2 morning line shows the market respects her. She's sandwiched in the ratings between two horses with better pace figures, so the show spot is the right lane to use her.

The first three races on the card are your free looks, and they're worth paying close attention to. Brown Lite opens the day in a 5½-furlong maiden special weight on dirt — always a tricky puzzle with maiden runners, but our ratings give enough separation to make a confident lean. Race 2 steps up the intrigue with Dancing Raquel in an allowance optional claiming route at 7 furlongs, where our analysis grades her as a legitimate 83-point contender at a workable 9/5 morning line. Then comes Oregon County in Race 3, our highest-rated free pick at 87.68 — a 7½-furlong claiming test where he profiles as the class of the field and the one to beat.

One thread tying these early races together: the 80-degree heat and dry conditions point to a fast, sealed surface where early speed carries real influence. Horses that can sit close to the pace without burning themselves up will have a structural edge. Keep that in mind as you assess how each of these contenders projects to run.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:50 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning line favorite here is not our top selection — TrackWiz analysis uncovers a significant ratings gap that points toward a potential upset in this 5½-furlong claiming sprint.

win5Makena's JoyML 12/1

Makena's Joy opens at 12/1 on the morning line but carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 73.96 — that kind of disconnect between public price and analytical standing is exactly the spot TrackWiz was built to find. An 18% career win rate shows she's no stranger to the winner's circle, and trainer Demetris Topouzis sends her out with Sven Balroop up. If the public overlooks her in favor of the shorter-priced runners, this is a real value win play.

place3Lovely SassicaiaML 5/1

Lovely Sassicaia is the second-best rated horse at 69.17 and is trained by Wendy Anderson — one of the busiest and most active barns on this card all day long. Damario Bynoe gets the mount, and at 5/1, she offers fair value as a place horse. A 15% career win rate is solid, and the combination of trainer form and strong rating makes her a reliable underneath play.

show1Paco's PicoML 4/1

Paco's Pico brings the best career win percentage in the field at 22% and pairs with trainer Wendy Anderson — who also runs Lovely Sassicaia, giving her two weapons in this race. The 4/1 morning line is reasonable, and an average speed figure of 54 ties for the best in the field. As a show play, a 22% win rate tells you this horse gets there often, and that's exactly what you want anchoring your third slot in exotics.

Race 5

2:15 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A loaded allowance optional claiming sprint with three horses rated in the low-to-mid 80s — the pace scenario at 5½ furlongs will be key, and the top-rated horse comes in with a significant class edge.

win2I'm in ControlML 2/1

I'm in Control is the TrackWiz top pick with an 85.38 rating and a stellar 25% career win rate — one of the better win percentages you'll see among the top-rated horses on today's card. Trainer Keith Pedersen sends her out with Sven Balroop, and at 2/1 on the morning line, the public has her right. She carries a 53 average speed figure and looks ready to take control of this short sprint from the two-post.

place5Mystic SongML 6/1

Mystic Song is the sneaky dangerous horse in this field, posting an 82.71 rating alongside a remarkable 80% career win rate that absolutely jumps off the page. Trainer Carl Norman Anderson has Javaniel R. Patterson in the irons, and at 6/1, there's real value in using this one underneath. The win rate is extraordinary, and while small sample size is always a possibility, you can't ignore a number like that — she belongs in your exacta.

show6Girl From de BayouML 4/1

Girl From de Bayou slots in with an 81.68 rating — third in this competitive field — and a 15% career win rate that keeps her honest. Antonio Whitehall rides for trainer Elton Dickey at 4/1 on the morning line, and her average speed figure of 54 matches the two horses above her. With three horses this closely bunched in the ratings, the show spot is where our analysis lands her, and she's absolutely worth including in trifecta combinations.

Race 6

2:40 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Nine horses entered at six furlongs creates a chaotic pace scenario, and the morning line favorite doesn't match up well in our ratings — this race looks primed for a value play to hit the board.

win5Sherlyn Go GoML 8/1

Sherlyn Go Go opens at 8/1 but holds the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 79.79 and backs it up with a 22% career win rate — the second-best in this nine-horse field. Antonio Whitehall takes the mount for trainer Wendy Anderson, one of the most active stables on today's card. Her average speed figure of 54 is the best in the race, and at 8/1, this is exactly the kind of overlooked horse our analysis targets — strong numbers at a big price.

place9Mr. DazzleML 3/1

Mr. Dazzle comes in with a 77.53 rating and a 16% career win rate, giving trainer Victoria Morse and jockey Ciera Pruitt a live shot at 3/1. His average speed figure of 53 is right in the mix, and in a nine-horse field where pace will be messy, a horse with this profile can easily sit just off the leaders and pounce. He's a logical place bet and a key part of any exotic play in this race.

show3Gallant OakML 4/1

Gallant Oak brings a 76.86 rating and 12% career win rate to the table for trainer Mike Taphorn and jockey Neville Stephenson. At 4/1 on the morning line, there's fair value in the show spot, and an average speed figure of 53 keeps him competitive in this field. He's the third leg of what our analysis sees as a strong top-three that diverges sharply from the morning line hierarchy.

Race 7

3:05 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A fascinating allowance race where the heavy morning line favorite doesn't lead our ratings — our analysis strongly suggests the 3/5 shot is vulnerable, and there's real value to be found in the middle of the field.

win6AcknowledgeML 4/1

Acknowledge carries a field-best TrackWiz rating of 76.55 and opens at 4/1, making this one of the most compelling value plays on the entire card today. Trainer Wendy Anderson — a dominant presence throughout this meet — saddles this one with Tyrone Nelson up, and an average speed figure of 52 matches the majority of this field. Our analysis isn't interested in the 3/5 chalk here — Acknowledge is the play at a price.

place7PrinceoftheprairieML 10/1

Princeoftheprairie has a 65.37 rating and represents trainer Carl Norman Anderson with Javaniel R. Patterson riding, a combination that showed up earlier on the card with the standout Mystic Song. At 10/1 on the morning line, this is a serious value play for place, and a 9% career win rate in allowance company is respectable. If the favorite underperforms — which our ratings suggest is possible — this one could run right into a nice exacta payout.

show3Silver SpicedML 20/1

Silver Spiced is a fascinating show play at 20/1 morning line odds, carrying a 62.29 rating and a 25% career win rate that is among the best in this field. Trainer Jared Brown and jockey Neville Stephenson form a combination worth noting, and a 25% win rate is simply too good to ignore at this price. The rating puts her solidly in the second tier of this race, and at 20/1, she's a lottery ticket with legitimate credentials — worth a few dollars in the trifecta.

Premium Content

Get the Full Card Analysis

Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.

View Plans Sign In

Bottom line: Oregon County is the morning's marquee free pick and the horse to structure your early sequences around, while Makena's Joy at 12/1 in Race 4 is the longshot angle subscribers won't want to miss. It's a tight, manageable 7-race card on a gorgeous afternoon at Assiniboia — good conditions for finding value if you do the work. Full analysis for all seven races is available to TrackWiz subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there.

← Back to all picks

Best Bets

Race 1↗

Race 2↗

Race 3↗

Full Card Analysis

Get the Full Card Analysis

Race 1

Race 2

Race 3