Free Lone Star Picks & Predictions

Hellofaneagle draws the 3 post and comes in rated 80.19, the only other horse in this field to crack the 80-point threshold. The 9/2 morning line makes this a genuine overlay candidate given that rating gap over the rest of the field. Trainer Martin Rodriguez has Francisco Giles up, and if Jlc Simon Says Run has any gate trouble, Hellofaneagle is positioned to swoop in.

Fm the Big Show at 4/1 rates third in the field with a 58.76 score and brings a 15% career win rate — respectable in this spot. Trainer Felesha Gold sends Ali Rivera aboard, and the fair morning line suggests some public support as well. Use this one underneath in trifectas to round out your ticket at a digestible price.

Man Hes Handsome is the most intriguing horse in the race on pure win percentage alone — a jaw-dropping 50% career win rate backed by an 85.33 rating that nearly matches our top pick. Trainer Carlos Cruz Lopez sends Gilberto Linares to the gate, and at 3/1, this one could easily flip the result. The razor-thin rating gap between the top two makes this a genuine co-top choice, and keying both in exactas is a smart play.

I Like Prized Bux slots in third on our ratings at 71.49 and gets the call from Francisco Giles for trainer Bradley C. Bolen, who is a name to watch throughout this card. The 4/1 morning line offers fair value for a horse that grades out well clear of the rest of the field. Include this one in trifecta combinations — if the top two run 1-2 as expected, the show price should hold up nicely.

Dm Sophie Cartel checks in with a 67.66 rating and draws the 10 post, which in a 12-horse short-distance sprint can actually be a blessing by keeping a horse away from early traffic trouble. Trainer Kie Mushinski sends Luis L. Vivanco aboard, and the 8/1 morning line makes this an excellent place-bet value. The rating gap between Sophie Cartel and the clustered mid-tier is real enough to trust this one for the exacta.

Omac Donald rates third in our model among the horses we're using, sitting at 57.84 with jockey Jose R. Herbert up for trainer Brian Stroud. The 4/1 morning line is fair, and Stroud appears twice on this card, suggesting an active stable worth monitoring. In a chaotic 12-horse field, getting Omac Donald at a fair price for show and trifecta coverage makes sense.